Surnadal IL vs Nardo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2 Surnadal IL - Nardo
Result
4:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 22
Surnadal IL - Nardo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Rian H. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Dahle-Fiske S. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Kvande S. H. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Melkild P. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Settemsdal F. ,

Chances of winning


Surnadal IL
15.8%
Draw
14.6%
Nardo
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 15.3% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 15% 63.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surnadal IL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surnadal IL's form might have worsened.
  • Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nardo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surnadal IL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Surnadal IL - Nardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.75
    (4.07)
    6.24
    (5.92)
    1.31
    (1.46)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Surnadal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nardo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Nardo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Surnadal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.5:5.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surnadal IL - Nardo were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Nardo - Surnadal IL 6:0
    20.10.2024 Nardo - Surnadal IL 5:1
    Latest results of Surnadal IL
    20.09.2025 Byåsen - Surnadal IL 1:1
    13.09.2025 Volda - Surnadal IL 5:0
    06.09.2025 Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade 1:1
    30.08.2025 Kvik - Surnadal IL 5:1
    24.08.2025 Surnadal IL - Rosenborg II 4:6
    Latest results of Nardo
    22.09.2025 Nardo - Rosenborg II 1:1
    14.09.2025 Aalesunds 2 - Nardo 4:1
    06.09.2025 Nardo - Ranheim 2 3:1
    30.08.2025 Nardo - Spjelkavik 2:2
    23.08.2025 Tiller - Nardo 2:3
    Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trygg/Lade24184269:224758
    2Melhus24173467:293854
    3Volda TI24154566:363049
    4Spjelkavik24136565:362945
    5Rosenborg 223143658:352345
    6Aalesund 2231211052:61-937
    7Nardo24105949:41835
    8Byasen2488836:37-132
    9Molde 224911459:68-928
    10Ranheim 224751248:53-526
    11FK Kvik24671137:45-825
    12Kristiansund 2 ✔ 24381319:57-3817
    13Surnadal ✔ 24261633:85-5212
    14Tiller ✔ 24132031:84-536

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kristiansund 2 is Relegated to
    Surnadal is Relegated to
    Tiller is Relegated to
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