Napredak Kruševac vs Radnik Surdulica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Serbian Superliga Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica
Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.44
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (312/383)72% (244/340)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.97
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2412
Passes
81% (312/383)72% (244/340)
Long passes
65% (31/48)36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
75% (87/116)67% (64/96)
Crosses
26% (8/31)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.25
Throw-ins
3126
Fouls
1224
Tackles
75% (12/16)76% (16/21)
Duels won
7148
Clearances
1426
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.970.91
Goals prevented
-1.030.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Owusu D. ,
  • 13', 0 - 2, Bogdanovic V. ,
  • 13', Bukorac S. , Subert I. ,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Empis P. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', Subert I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Balevic L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 3, Owusu D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Zlicic L. , Toseski M. ,
  • 52', Toseski M. 🟨,
  • 58', Vulic M. 🟨,
  • 67', Miletic V. , Saric M. ,
  • 70', Novakovic M. , Raskovic S. ,
  • 70', Empis P. , Filipovic U. ,
  • 72', Owusu D. 🟨,
  • 74', Jovanovic D. 🟨,
  • 90', Owusu D. , Filimonovic U. ,
  • 90+2', Bogdanovic V. , Chinedu S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Napredak Kruševac
39.3%
Draw
30.5%
Radnik Surdulica
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.4% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.3% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.
  • Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (1.8)
    3.29
    (3.6)
    3.33
    (4.6)
    -0.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica?
  • Users Predictions: Napredak Kruševac will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.
    • In recent matches, Napredak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Radnik is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Napredak will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica 0:0
    14.04.2024 Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica 0:2
    11.11.2023 Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac 1:2
    12.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac 1:0
    15.10.2022 Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica 1:0
    Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
    Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
    Serbian Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Partizan971127:101722
    2Crvena zvezda770030:52521
    3Vojvodina953115:7818
    4Novi Pazar943214:13115
    5Radnicki 1923934211:10113
    6Cukaricki841314:14013
    7Zeleznicar Pancevo1034314:16-213
    8OFK Beograd1041514:20-613
    9TSC932410:13-311
    10Javor924311:14-310
    11Radnik1031611:14-310
    12Mladost92438:12-410
    13IMT Novi Beograd1031610:21-1110
    14Radnicki Nis1022613:16-38
    15Napredak91448:17-97
    16Sp. Subotica913510:18-86

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