Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Napoli - Sporting Lisbon
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Napoli - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Napoli
51.7%
Draw
25.7%
Sporting Lisbon
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.2% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The chances for Sporting Lisbon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Napoli - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.85)
    3.82
    (3.72)
    4.23
    (4.23)
    2.7%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Napoli - Sporting Lisbon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Napoli is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Napoli
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2
    18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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