Real Madrid vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Napoli
Result
4:2
29/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
Real Madrid - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Real Madrid
53.4%
Draw
23.5%
Napoli
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 23.5% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 22.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.71)
    4.07
    (4.06)
    4.19
    (4.6)
    3.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 74 - 77.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 5 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.6%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Guler A. (Thigh Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Lindstrom J. (Ankle Injury) Olivera M. (Knee Injury) Rui M. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Arrizabalaga K. (Groin Injury) Modric L. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Real won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Napoli were as follows:
    03.10.2023 Napoli - Real Madrid 2:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    08.11.2023 Real Madrid - Braga 3:0
    28.10.2023 Barcelona - Real Madrid 1:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    25.11.2023 Atalanta - Napoli 1:2
    12.11.2023 Napoli - Empoli 0:1
    08.11.2023 Napoli - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.11.2023 Salernitana - Napoli 0:2
    29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Napoli?
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