Bologna vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Bologna - Napoli
Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Bologna - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.15
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
82% (369/449)72% (217/301)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.59
Total shots
126
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3114
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
82% (369/449)72% (217/301)
Long passes
47% (22/47)38% (21/55)
Passes in final third
69% (94/137)65% (40/62)
Crosses
23% (9/39)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.23
Fouls
1118
Tackles
79% (11/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6157
Clearances Total
2148
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.591.57
Goals prevented
0.590.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Anguissa F. ,
  • 25', Skorupski L. , Ravaglia F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Ndoye D. , Odgaard J. (A),
  • 70', McTominay S. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 74', David Neres , Raspadori G. ,
  • 77', Orsolini R. , Cambiaghi N. ,
  • 77', Dallinga T. , Castro S. ,
  • 79', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndoye D. , Dominguez B. ,
  • 87', Odgaard J. , Fabbian G. ,
  • 89', Anguissa F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Politano M. , Ngonge C. ,
  • 90+2', Aebischer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bologna
33.1%
Draw
31.8%
Napoli
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 30.8% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 31.3% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Bologna - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.88)
    2.99
    (3.12)
    2.72
    (2.68)
    5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bologna - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 18 - 27.3%). Napoli will win (votes: 36 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 42.5%66.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bologna won 1.
    • Bologna in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Napoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Calabria D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Castro S. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Inactive) Lobotka S. (Injury) Spinazzola L. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bologna won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 23:50 (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:22 (average 1.2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Napoli were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Napoli - Bologna 3:0
    11.05.2024 Napoli - Bologna 0:2
    24.09.2023 Bologna - Napoli 0:0
    28.05.2023 Bologna - Napoli 2:2
    16.10.2022 Napoli - Bologna 3:2
    Latest results of Bologna
    01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3
    29.03.2025 Venezia - Bologna 0:1
    09.03.2025 Verona - Bologna 1:2
    02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    16.03.2025 Venezia - Napoli 0:0
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1
    23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Napoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, SuperSport Football
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport 2
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv, K24, Kameme TV
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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