Elina Svitolina vs Naomi Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Montreal Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka
Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Quarter-finals
Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
53%60%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (13/21)82% (23/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (7/19)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
18% (5/28)38% (8/21)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (11/19)63% (12/19)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
45% (20/44)68% (36/53)
Return Points Won
32% (17/53)55% (24/44)
Total Points Won
38% (37/97)62% (60/97)
Last 10 Balls
010
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Elina Svitolina
56.9%
Naomi Osaka
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.54)

    2.22
    (2.38)
    4.6%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Osaka will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 44.4%79.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Osaka (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Svitolina is ranked WTA: 13. Osaka is ranked WTA: 49.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 2.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina 2:0
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Latest results of Naomi Osaka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Bye
    2Collins D.Tomova V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Bucsa C. (Q)Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    4ByeDanilovic O. (29)
    5Kenin S. (23)Bye
    6Birrell K.Mboko V. (WC)0 : 2
    7Uchijima M.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (14)
    9Alexandrova E. (12)Bye
    10Zhu L.Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lamens S.Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (18)
    13Krueger A. (26)Bye
    14Chirico L. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    15Volynets K. (Q)Ito A. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    19Joint M.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20ByeKessler M. (28)
    21Kostyuk M. (24)Bye
    22Vondrousova M.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Dolehide C.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    24ByeKasatkina D. (15)
    25Rybakina E. (9)Bye
    26Osuigwe W. (Q)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    27Cristian J.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 1
    28ByeNoskova L. (20)
    29Yastremska D. (30)Bye
    30Pera B. (Q)Osorio C.0 : 2
    31Jacquemot E. (Q)Marino R. (WC)0 : 2
    32ByeNavarro E. (8)
    33Anisimova A. (5)Bye
    34Cirstea S.Sun L.0 : 2
    35Ruse G.Raducanu E.0 : 2
    36ByeStearns P. (32)
    37Mertens E. (19)Bye
    38Li A.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    39Rakhimova K. (Q)Cross K.2 : 1
    40ByeSvitolina E. (10)
    41Samsonova L. (13)Bye
    42Arseneault A. (Q)Osaka N.0 : 2
    43Boulter K.Zarazua R.0 : 2
    44ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    45Linette M. (25)Bye
    46Tomljanovic A.Sevastova A.1 : 2
    47Sakkari M.Branstine C. (WC)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (6)Bye
    50Maria T.Siegemund L. (Q)1 : 2
    51Parks A.McNally C.1 : 2
    52ByeSramkova R. (31)
    53Bencic B. (17)Bye
    54Bouchard E. (WC)Arango E.2 : 1
    55Ruzic A. (Q)Potapova A.2 : 1
    56ByeMuchova K. (11)
    57Tauson C. (16)Bye
    58Mandlik E. (WC)Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    59Wang Y. (Q)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    60ByeFrech M. (21)
    61Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Bye
    62Lys E.Jeanjean L. (Q)2 : 0
    63Putintseva Y.Guo H. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Collins D.2 : 1
    2Kudermetova V.Danilovic O. (29)2 : 0
    3Kenin S. (23)Mboko V.0 : 2
    4Bouzkova M.Shnaider D. (14)2 : 0
    5Alexandrova E. (12)Zhu L.1 : 2
    6Lamens S.Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 1
    7Krueger A. (26)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    8Ito A.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    9Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)Andreescu B.
    10Joint M.Kessler M. (28)1 : 2
    11Kostyuk M. (24)Vondrousova M.2 : 1
    12Blinkova A.Kasatkina D. (15)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (9)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    14Cristian J.Noskova L. (20)2 : 0
    15Yastremska D. (30)Osorio C.2 : 1
    16Marino R.Navarro E. (8)0 : 2
    17Anisimova A. (5)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Raducanu E.Stearns P. (32)2 : 0
    19Mertens E. (19)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    20Rakhimova K.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    21Samsonova L. (13)Osaka N.1 : 2
    22Zarazua R.Ostapenko J. (22)1 : 2
    23Linette M. (25)Sevastova A.1 : 2
    24Sakkari M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (6)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    26McNally C.Sramkova R. (31)2 : 0
    27Bencic B. (17)Bouchard E.2 : 1
    28Ruzic A.Muchova K. (11)0 : 2
    29Tauson C. (16)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    30Starodubtseva Y.Frech M. (21)2 : 0
    31Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Lys E.0 : 2
    32Guo H.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    2Mboko V.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    3Zhu L.Lamens S.2 : 0
    4Bouzas Maneiro J.Ito A.2 : 1
    5Andreeva M. (4)Kessler M. (28)0 : 2
    6Kostyuk M. (24)Kasatkina D. (15)2 : 1
    7Rybakina E. (9)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Yastremska D. (30)Navarro E. (8)2 : 0
    9Anisimova A. (5)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    10Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    11Osaka N.Ostapenko J. (22)2 : 0
    12Sevastova A.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    13Keys M. (6)McNally C.2 : 1
    14Bencic B. (17)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    15Tauson C. (16)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    16Lys E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gauff C. (1)Mboko V.0 : 2
    2Zhu L.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    3Kessler M. (28)Kostyuk M. (24)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (9)Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    5Anisimova A. (5)Svitolina E. (10)0 : 2
    6Osaka N.Sevastova A.2 : 0
    7Keys M. (6)Muchova K. (11)2 : 1
    8Tauson C. (16)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mboko V.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    2Kostyuk M. (RET.) (24)Rybakina E. (9)0 : 1
    3Svitolina E. (10)Osaka N.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (6)Tauson C. (16)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mboko V.Rybakina E. (9)2 : 1
    2Osaka N.Tauson C. (16)2 : 0

    Final
    1Mboko V.Osaka N.2 : 1
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