Naoki Nakagawa vs Alfredo Perez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Chicago Challenger Men Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez
Result
2:0
04/08/2025 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/16-finals
Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
56%55%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (32/42)61% (22/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (17/33)62% (18/29)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
39% (14/36)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (11/29)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)0% (0/5)
Winners
1520
Unforced Errors
3729
Net Points Won
88% (7/8)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
65% (49/75)62% (40/65)
Return Points Won
38% (25/65)35% (26/75)
Total Points Won
53% (74/140)47% (66/140)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Naoki Nakagawa
34.1%
Alfredo Perez
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Alfredo Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.62)

    1.43
    (1.44)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 350. Perez is ranked ATP: 372.
    • Nakagawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Perez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Perez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Perez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Latest results of Alfredo Perez
    19.07.2025 Alfredo Perez - Andrea Vavassori Vavassori A. retired
    16.07.2025 Alfredo Perez - Liam Draxl 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)King D. (WC)2 : 0
    2Ghibaudo A. (Q)Vallejo D.2 : 0
    3Hussey G. (LL)Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Dostanic S. (Alt)Tomic B. (RET.) (6)1 : 1
    5Wu Y. (4)Ilagan A. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Nakagawa N.Perez A. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Tobon M. (JR)Sell K.0 : 2
    8Fenty A. (Q)Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    9Pacheco Mendez R. (8)Zheng M. (CO)0 : 2
    10Zhou Y.Sheehy J. (Q)2 : 0
    11Banerjee S. (Q)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    12Kang K. (WC)Habib H. (3)0 : 2
    13Zhukayev B. (5)Maloney P.2 : 1
    14Jung J. (PR)Svajda T. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bolt A.Huang T. (Q)2 : 0
    16Johns G. (Alt)Harris B. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    2Hussey G.Dostanic S. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Wu Y. (4)Nakagawa N.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    5Zheng M.Zhou Y.2 : 1
    6Banerjee S.Habib H. (3)0 : 2
    7Zhukayev B. (5)Svajda T.0 : 2
    8Bolt A.Johns G.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Hussey G.
    2Wu Y. (4)Hsu Y. H. (7)
    3Zheng M.Habib H. (3)
    4Svajda T.Johns G.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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