Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus
Result
3:0
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.50
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
514
Passes
76% (246/323)77% (319/414)
Long passes
40% (27/67)48% (35/73)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)66% (86/131)
Crosses
31% (5/16)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
145
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.502.71
Goals prevented
1.50-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. , Quinones J. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Yan , Inoue K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mori S. , Kawazura A. ,
  • 62', Kato R. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 63', Quinones J. , Matsubara K. ,
  • 63', Inoue K. , Amano J. ,
  • 64', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 66', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Junker K. ,
  • 73', Nogami Y. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 76', Elber , Matsumura K. ,
  • 79', Tanimura K. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 80', Shiihashi K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 86', Junker K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Uenaka A. , Yan (A),
  • 90+6', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
33.9%
Draw
28.4%
Nagoya Grampus
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.86)
    3.36
    (3.31)
    2.48
    (2.46)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yokohama F. Marinos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
    • Yokohama FM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kida T. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Ankle Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Amano J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0
    08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 0:2
    13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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