Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

: J1 League - Round 26

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.21
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
80% (308/387)	77% (297/384)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	0.72
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
10	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
80% (308/387)	77% (297/384)
Long passes
37% (22/60)	46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)	62% (77/125)
Crosses
50% (4/8)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.99
Throw-ins
23	26
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
78% (7/9)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
43	41
Clearances
32	15
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.72	1.05
Goals prevented
-0.28	-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
29', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
31', Junker K. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Hara T. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
77', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
77', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
78', Junker K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
78', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
81', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
88', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
89', Gustafson S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+6', Danilo Boza 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
49%

Draw
28.3%

Nagoya Grampus
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	4.38 ↑ (3.36)	3% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
Urawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Morishima T. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1

28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

09.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	30	18	4	8	45:27	18	58
2	Kyoto	30	16	7	7	53:32	21	55
3	Kashiwa Reysol	30	15	10	5	43:29	14	55
4	Vissel Kobe	30	16	6	8	37:26	11	54
5	Machida	30	15	6	9	46:32	14	51
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	30	15	6	9	35:21	14	51
7	Kawasaki Frontale	30	13	9	8	53:39	14	48
8	Urawa Reds	30	13	8	9	39:32	7	47
9	Cerezo Osaka	30	11	10	9	47:42	5	43
10	Gamba Osaka	30	13	4	13	39:44	-5	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
12	Okayama	30	11	6	13	28:33	-5	39
13	Avispa Fukuoka	30	9	10	11	30:34	-4	37
14	FC Tokyo	30	10	7	13	32:42	-10	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	30	9	8	13	38:43	-5	35
16	Verdy	30	9	8	13	20:31	-11	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	30	7	7	16	28:38	-10	28
18	Yokohama FC	30	7	6	17	20:36	-16	27
19	Shonan Bellmare	30	6	7	17	27:53	-26	25
20	Albirex Niigata	30	4	8	18	27:50	-23	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan