Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:0
06/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 15
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.02
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
82
Free Kicks
168
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Long passes
43% (34/79)22% (15/67)
Passes in final third
52% (60/116)60% (72/121)
Crosses
26% (5/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.47
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
816
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.020.27
Goals prevented
0.020.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Iwabuchi H. , Sato R. ,
  • 46', Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 46', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 61', Tabei R. , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 66', Mateus , Asano Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Morishima T. ,
  • 72', Esaka A. , Kimura T. ,
  • 72', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 82', Sato R. 🟨,
  • 83', Kato H. , Gleyson ,
  • 85', Uchida T. , Nogami Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.8%
Draw
31.1%
Fagiano Okayama
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 30.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.39)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    3.13
    (3.21)
    6.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
    • Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagoya might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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