Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:0
06/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 15
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.02
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
82
Free Kicks
168
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Long passes
43% (34/79)22% (15/67)
Passes in final third
52% (60/116)60% (72/121)
Crosses
26% (5/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.47
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
816
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.020.27
Goals prevented
0.020.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Iwabuchi H. , Sato R. ,
  • 46', Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 46', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 61', Tabei R. , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 66', Mateus , Asano Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Morishima T. ,
  • 72', Esaka A. , Kimura T. ,
  • 72', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 82', Sato R. 🟨,
  • 83', Kato H. , Gleyson ,
  • 85', Uchida T. , Nogami Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.8%
Draw
31.1%
Fagiano Okayama
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 30.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.39)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    3.13
    (3.21)
    6.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
    • Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagoya might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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