Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:0
06/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 15
Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.02
Total shots
117
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
82
Free Kicks
168
Passes
76% (360/474)68% (203/299)
Long passes
43% (34/79)22% (15/67)
Passes in final third
52% (60/116)60% (72/121)
Crosses
26% (5/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.47
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
816
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.020.27
Goals prevented
0.020.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Iwabuchi H. , Sato R. ,
  • 46', Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 46', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 61', Tabei R. , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 66', Mateus , Asano Y. ,
  • 66', Izumi R. , Morishima T. ,
  • 72', Esaka A. , Kimura T. ,
  • 72', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 82', Sato R. 🟨,
  • 83', Kato H. , Gleyson ,
  • 85', Uchida T. , Nogami Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.8%
Draw
31.1%
Fagiano Okayama
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 30.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.39)
    3.02
    (3.02)
    3.13
    (3.21)
    6.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
    • Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagoya might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto26146643:301348
    2Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    3Kashiwa Reysol26138536:251147
    4Machida26144839:251446
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima26144830:181246
    6Vissel Kobe26144834:25946
    7Urawa Reds26128636:261044
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Okayama261061025:23236
    11Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    12Gamba Osaka261041229:35-634
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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