Trofense vs Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Portuguese Liga 2 Trofense - Nacional
Result
2:2
11/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
Trofense - Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Trofense
45.2%
Draw
27.8%
Nacional
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 30.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Trofense - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.27)
    3.32
    (3.2)
    3.41
    (2.75)
    8.4%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Trofense - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trofense: 56.3%87.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
    • Recent matches Trofense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Nacional were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Nacional - Trofense 0:1
    Latest results of Trofense
    04.03.2023 Moreirense - Trofense 1:0
    24.02.2023 Trofense - Penafiel 1:2
    18.02.2023 Trofense - Oliveirense 2:1
    11.02.2023 Vilafranquense - Trofense 0:1
    05.02.2023 Trofense - Leixões 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    05.03.2023 Nacional - Covilhã 2:0
    26.02.2023 BSAD - Nacional 0:1
    19.02.2023 Nacional - Leixões 1:2
    13.02.2023 Mafra - Nacional 3:3
    09.02.2023 Casa Pia - Nacional 2:5
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela43108:2610
    2Sporting CP B43015:149
    3Maritimo43014:139
    4Feirense42116:247
    5Leiria42114:317
    6Leixoes42117:527
    7Portimonense42116:7-17
    8Torreense42025:326
    9Chaves41306:426
    10Oliveirense41212:205
    11Lusitania FC41215:6-15
    12Academico Viseu41125:504
    13Felgueiras41124:6-24
    14SC Farense41123:6-34
    15Benfica B40314:5-13
    16Pacos Ferreira40221:5-42
    17Penafiel40133:7-41
    18FC Porto B40130:8-81

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3

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