Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Nacional - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:4
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 3
  • Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
Nacional - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Nacional - Sporting Lisbon live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.67
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
327
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
313
Passes
66% (119/180)85% (424/496)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.712.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.242.28
Total shots
327
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
011
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
649
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
618
Passes
66% (119/180)85% (424/496)
Long passes
38% (20/53)71% (30/42)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)77% (152/198)
Crosses
30% (3/10)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.882.07
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
187
Tackles
45% (9/20)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
469
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.280.24
Goals prevented
-1.72-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Leo Santos , Liziero (A),
  • 26', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
  • 30', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 32', Morita H. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 37', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Labidi C. , Soares F. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Goncalves P. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 59', Paulinho Boia 🟨,
  • 60', Mangas R. 🟨,
  • 64', Fresneda I. , Vagiannidis G. ,
  • 64', Mangas R. , Quenda G. ,
  • 70', Ramirez J. , Joao L. ,
  • 75', Paulinho Boia , Witi ,
  • 75', Liziero , Silva J. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Goncalves P. , Inacio G. (A),
  • 78', Catamo G. , Harder C. ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Harder C. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 90', Matheus Dias , Watts ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Goncalves P. , Suarez L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional
9.3%
Draw
16.2%
Sporting Lisbon
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 15.7% 74%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Nacional - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.19
    (9.16)
    5.89
    (5.97)
    1.3
    (1.27)
    3.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.
    • Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury) Deivison (Inactive) Fernandes I. (Inactive) Ulisses (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M. (Injury) Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Diomande O. (Injury) Matheus Reis (Suspended) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Joao L. (Inactive) Nourani M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:39. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 2:0
    29.10.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 3:1
    17.08.2024 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:6
    Latest results of Nacional
    17.08.2025 Rio Ave - Nacional 1:1
    09.08.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:2
    03.08.2025 Marítimo - Nacional 3:0
    22.07.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nacional 2:0
    17.05.2025 Porto - Nacional 3:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto440011:11012
    2Famalicao43105:0510
    3Sporting CP430113:3109
    4Benfica33006:159
    5Moreirense43015:329
    6Braga422010:468
    7Gil Vicente42114:227
    8Arouca41217:11-45
    9Nacional41124:7-34
    10Vitoria Guimaraes41124:8-44
    11Rio Ave30306:603
    12Estrela40313:4-13
    13Casa Pia41032:8-63
    14Estoril30215:6-12
    15Santa Clara30120:4-41
    16Alverca40134:9-51
    17AFS40133:8-51
    18Tondela40132:9-71

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional - Sporting Lisbon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
    hungaryHungarySport 2
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTriller TV+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan