Porto vs Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Porto - Nacional
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 5
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
Porto - Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.08
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (441/526)60% (140/232)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.21
Total shots
115
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
274
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
146
Passes
84% (441/526)60% (140/232)
Long passes
47% (22/47)38% (21/55)
Passes in final third
70% (113/162)52% (27/52)
Crosses
6% (1/17)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.11
Throw-ins
3320
Fouls
614
Tackles
88% (15/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5756
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
618
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.211.86
Goals prevented
0.210.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Aurelio J. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Samu (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Varela A. , Perez N. ,
  • 56', Mora R. , Veiga G. ,
  • 56', Moura F. , Zaidu ,
  • 61', Perez N. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 63', Pablo Ruan , Witi ,
  • 66', Margarido T. 🟨,
  • 70', Labidi C. 🟨,
  • 74', Liziero , Soares F. ,
  • 74', Labidi C. , Silva J. ,
  • 76', Veiga G. 🟨,
  • 79', Samu 🟨,
  • 84', Paulinho Boia , Joao L. ,
  • 86', Samu , Gul D. ,
  • 90+1', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 90+9', Leo Santos 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Porto
80.2%
Draw
13.5%
Nacional
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.7% 13.6% 6.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Porto - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.16)
    7.17
    (6.8)
    14.81
    (14.04)
    5.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Porto - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
    • Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Nacional's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Knee Injury) Deivison (Inactive) Fernandes I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Pepê (Eye injury) William Gomes (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:2. (average 2.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Nacional were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Porto - Nacional 3:0
    12.01.2025 Nacional - Porto 2:0
    Latest results of Porto
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0
    03.08.2025 Porto - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional
    30.08.2025 Casa Pia - Nacional 0:2
    23.08.2025 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:4
    17.08.2025 Rio Ave - Nacional 1:1
    09.08.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:2
    03.08.2025 Marítimo - Nacional 3:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto660015:11418
    2Sporting CP650118:41415
    3Benfica642011:3814
    4Gil Vicente64117:2513
    5Moreirense64028:7112
    6Famalicao63217:3411
    7Braga623111:659
    8Vitoria Guimaraes62227:9-28
    9Santa Clara62224:6-28
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Casa Pia62135:9-47
    12Estoril61238:10-25
    13Estrela60423:6-34
    14Nacional61145:10-54
    15Alverca61146:11-54
    16Rio Ave60428:13-54
    17Tondela60242:10-82
    18AFS60154:14-101

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Nacional?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, SportKlub 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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