Porto vs Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Porto - Nacional
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 34
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Porto - Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.19
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
90% (443/491)82% (234/286)
Yellow Cards
17
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.131.67
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
90% (443/491)82% (234/286)
Long passes
53% (19/36)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
75% (84/112)63% (40/63)
Crosses
29% (4/14)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.18
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
1115
Tackles
64% (7/11)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4838
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.672.13
Goals prevented
1.67-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Moura F. , Fernandes M. (A),
  • 11', Joel (Pen),
  • 13', Matheus Dias 🟨,
  • 25', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 43', Vieira F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Paulinho Boia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Aurelio J. , Garcia ,
  • 46', Sousa A. , Esteves L. ,
  • 59', Pepê , Perez T. ,
  • 67', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Samu (Pen),
  • 75', Joel , Goncalves C. ,
  • 75', Matheus Dias , Jota Garces ,
  • 75', Macedo R. , Dudu ,
  • 75', Vieira F. , William Gomes ,
  • 75', Joao Mario , Borges G. ,
  • 81', Leo Santos 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Mora R. , Borges G. (A),
  • 86', Varela A. , Franco A. ,
  • 86', Mora R. , Danny Namaso ,
  • 89', Goncalves C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Garcia 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Porto
73.9%
Draw
16.5%
Nacional
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.9% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 17.4% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Porto - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.31)
    5.69
    (5.28)
    9.81
    (9.46)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Porto - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 25 - 92.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 82.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
    • Porto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Perez N. (Red Card) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury) Fernandes I. (Inactive) Lucas Franca (Yellow Cards) Sousa D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 2.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Nacional were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Nacional - Porto 2:0
    Latest results of Porto
    11.05.2025 Boavista - Porto 1:2
    02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1
    26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0
    18.04.2025 Porto - Famalicão 2:1
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    10.05.2025 Nacional - Rio Ave 3:3
    27.04.2025 Moreirense - Nacional 1:1
    19.04.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:3
    12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Nacional?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV3
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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