Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Porto - Nacional live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.88 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (443/491) | 82% (234/286) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.88 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.13 | 1.67 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
90% (443/491) | 82% (234/286) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (19/36) | 40% (17/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (84/112) | 63% (40/63) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 81% (13/16) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.67 | 2.13 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.67 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Moura F. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
- 11', Joel (Pen),
- 13', Matheus Dias 🟨,
- 25', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 43', Vieira F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Paulinho Boia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Aurelio J. ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 46', Sousa A. ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
- 59', Pepê ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 67', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 0, Samu (Pen),
- 75', Joel ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
- 75', Matheus Dias ↓, Jota Garces ↑,
- 75', Macedo R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 75', Vieira F. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 75', Joao Mario ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 81', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 0, Mora R. ⚽, Borges G. (A),
- 86', Varela A. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 86', Mora R. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 89', Goncalves C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Garcia 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto 73.9% | Draw 16.5% | Nacional 9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Porto - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.31) |
5.69 ↑ (5.28) |
9.81 ↑ (9.46) |
5.6% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Porto - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 25 - 92.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 82.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
- Porto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Perez N.
(Red Card)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Lucas Franca
(Yellow Cards)
Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 2.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Nacional?
Porto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Porto?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Nacional were as follows:
12.01.2025
Nacional
-
Porto
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV3 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
World | Triller TV+ |