Nacional vs Portimonense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese League Cup Nacional - Portimonense
19/11/2022 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Nacional - Portimonense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional
23.6%
Draw
26%
Portimonense
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 28.5% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 24.8% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portimonense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portimonense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.44)
    3.57
    (3.19)
    1.84
    (2.01)
    7.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Latest results of Nacional
    12.11.2022 Nacional - Porto B 4:0
    09.11.2022 Nacional - Tondela 1:0
    06.11.2022 Feirense - Nacional 1:1
    29.10.2022 Nacional - Penafiel 1:1
    23.10.2022 Oliveirense - Nacional 0:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    13.11.2022 Portimonense - Braga 1:2
    04.11.2022 Gil Vicente - Portimonense 1:2
    24.10.2022 Rio Ave - Portimonense 1:0
    Draw
    2024/25

    Quarter-finals
    1Sporting CPNacional3 : 1
    2FC PortoMoreirense2 : 0
    3BenficaSanta Clara3 : 0
    4BragaVitoria Guimaraes2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sporting CPFC Porto1 : 0
    2BenficaBraga3 : 0

    Final
    1Sporting CPBenfica1 : 2
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