Result
3:2
24/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
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Chances of winning
Nacional
54.4% | Draw
25.6% | Penafiel
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Nacional - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
4.58 ↑
(4.34) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
Nacional will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Penafiel?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Nacional?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Penafiel were as follows:
02.10.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
1:4
22.07.2023
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:0
16.04.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
3:0
29.10.2022
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feirense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Leixoes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Leiria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Portimonense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Chaves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Oliveirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Porto B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Academico Viseu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Pacos Ferreira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Torreense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Felgueiras | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional - Penafiel?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
