Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro
Result
2:3
14/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 14
Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
821
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
74% (188/254)76% (178/234)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.222.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.69
Total shots
821
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
74% (188/254)76% (178/234)
Long passes
53% (33/62)54% (36/67)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)54% (42/78)
Crosses
25% (4/16)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.65
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1810
Tackles
64% (9/14)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3638
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
1.691.48
Goals prevented
-1.31-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Alvarez W. (Pen),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Torres S. , Rojas J. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Zeballos S. (Pen),
  • 45+2', Ribera C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Demiquel L. , Payares M. ,
  • 51', Palacio D. 🟨,
  • 56', Gomez Saca R. 🟨,
  • 57', Ali L. , Vallejos Y. ,
  • 57', Ribera C. , Orihuela R. ,
  • 63', Baldomar O. 🟨,
  • 68', Guerra S. , Azogue P. ,
  • 68', Alvarez W. , Tobar T. ,
  • 69', Alessandrini A. 🟨,
  • 71', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 75', Zeballos S. , Vila L. ,
  • 75', Cuellar Orti R. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 76', Hoyos D. 🟨,
  • 79', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Vila L. , Gustavo Oliveira (A),
  • 90', Gustavo Oliveira , Bravo Adan A. F. ,
  • 90+3', Palacio D. , Torres K. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 3, Fernandez D. ,
  • 90+9', Hunacota Terceros R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Potosí
59.6%
Draw
22.3%
Real Oruro
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.9% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.59)
    4.2
    (3.83)
    4.86
    (5.05)
    7.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Potosí will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional Potosí is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Latest results of Real Oruro
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1The Strongest17131349:292040
    2Always Ready17114250:212937
    3Bolivar17103441:192233
    4Blooming1694334:241031
    5GV San Jose1782726:29-326
    6Guabira1764731:32-122
    7SA Bulo Bulo1656527:26121
    8Real Oruro1755725:28-320
    9Universitario de Vinto1655622:26-420
    10Oriente Petrolero1754826:35-919
    11Academia del Balompie1746719:30-1118
    12Nacional Potosi1645720:20017
    13Tomayapo1738617:30-1317
    14Independiente1636721:34-1315
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1654726:29-3-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

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