Jorge Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí
Result
2:5
17/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 20
  • Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.54
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
77% (263/342)79% (307/387)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.63
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
919
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
911
Passes
77% (263/342)79% (307/387)
Long passes
49% (33/67)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
62% (72/117)68% (90/133)
Crosses
33% (10/30)63% (10/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.522.06
Throw-ins
2110
Fouls
119
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
2743
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.631.33
Goals prevented
-2.37-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Alvarez W. , Torres S. (A),
  • 13', 0 - 2, Salinas L. (Own goal),
  • 20', Caceres A. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 3, Alvarez W. , Guerra S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Rocabado I. , Barron A. ,
  • 46', Adrian J. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 53', 1 - 3, Caceres A. , Rodriguez L. (A),
  • 55', Guerra S. , Azogue P. ,
  • 55', Rojas J. , Palacio D. ,
  • 62', Mustafa S. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Caceres A. (Pen),
  • 64', Nunez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Corrales R. 🟨,
  • 66', Hoyos D. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 4, Palacio D. , Alvarez W. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 5, Palacio D. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 75', Nunez M. , Baldomar O. ,
  • 75', Hoyos D. , Pavia L. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
  • 81', Chavez C. , Delgadillo M. ,
  • 81', Aliaga A. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez L. , Veizaga E. ,
  • 87', Alvarez W. , Payares M. ,
  • 89', Restrepo E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jorge Wilstermann
18.1%
Draw
24.9%
Nacional Potosí
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 25.9% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 25% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-22.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.93
    (2.39)
    4.73
    (3.53)
    1.91
    (2.55)
    -11.9%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 1:3
    20.05.2025 Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann 3:4
    27.04.2025 Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann 1:2
    27.10.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 2:2
    14.07.2024 Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann 0:0
    Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready21154260:223849
    2The Strongest20141553:341943
    3Bolivar20124450:232740
    4Blooming20114540:32837
    5SA Bulo Bulo2177737:35228
    6Guabira2084834:37-328
    7Independiente2076734:40-627
    8GV San Jose21831028:36-827
    9Nacional Potosi2166934:29524
    10Real Oruro2166935:40-524
    11Oriente Petrolero2166932:40-824
    12Universitario de Vinto2166927:39-1224
    13Tomayapo2058721:33-1223
    14Academia del Balompie2148922:35-1320
    15Wilstermann21151516:47-318
    16Aurora2184938:39-1-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí?
    It is being streamed on channel
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