Result
1:1
29/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Division Profesional - Round 12
- Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (270/320) | 72% (191/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (270/320) | 72% (191/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (64/94) | 56% (42/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Rocha Y. 🟥,
- 25', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 29', Lampe C. 🟨,
- 32', Guerra S. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽, Paz L. (A),
- 45+6', Echeverria S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Azogue P. ↓, Hoyos D. ↑,
- 61', Guerra S. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 72', Restrepo E. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 77', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 77', Velasquez J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 80', Alvarez W. 🟨,
- 82', Torren M. 🟨,
- 84', Alvarez W. 🟨,
- 84', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hoyos D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
29.8% | Draw
25.2% | Bolívar
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional Potosí - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.45) |
3.67 ↓
(3.95) |
2.08 ↓
(2.4) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Bolívar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bolívar will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
- In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- Bolívar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:40. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Bolívar?
Nacional Potosí has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Nacional Potosí?
Bolívar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Bolívar were as follows:
26.06.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Bolívar
3:0
24.11.2024
Bolívar
-
Nacional Potosí
5:3
28.07.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Bolívar
2:1
21.10.2023
Bolívar
-
Nacional Potosí
4:3
15.10.2022
Bolívar
-
Nacional Potosí
3:1
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 37:13 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:19 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Blooming | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:25 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Tomayapo | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Universitario de Vinto | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | Academia del Balompie | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Guabira | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:29 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Independiente | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Nacional Potosi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8:28 | -20 | 5 |
| 16 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 25:22 | 3 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
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