Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Progreso
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
Nacional Montevideo - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ,
  • 8', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 17', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 27', Prieto A. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Oliva C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', De Los Santos M. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 46', Prieto A. , Carroso H. ,
  • 54', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 1, De Los Santos J. , Gomez M. (A),
  • 62', Trasante G. 🟨,
  • 63', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 63', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 74', De Los Santos J. , Mereles E. ,
  • 74', Carroso H. 🟨,
  • 78', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 79', Mereles E. 🟨,
  • 79', Oliva C. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 80', Lopez N. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 80', Lopez F. , Garcia A. ,
  • 85', Boggio L. , Palacios H. ,
  • 85', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Dos Santos A. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
74.8%
Draw
15.8%
Progreso
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.8% 15.4% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.25)
    6.05
    (6)
    10.33
    (8.5)
    5.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • No spectators.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Progreso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    16.02.2025 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 1:5
    29.09.2024 Progreso - Nacional Montevideo 0:3
    23.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 0:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1081121:71425
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Defensor Sp106138:9-119
    6Liverpool M1053213:10318
    7Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    8Progreso1042412:11114
    9Danubio1041514:11313
    10CA Cerro104158:12-413
    11Miramar1032513:14-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo103257:16-911
    14Plaza Colonia101277:20-135
    15Wanderers101183:14-114
    16River Plate100373:15-123

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