Result
2:1
30/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 86 | 100 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 17 | 52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Romero F. ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Cardozo O. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
- 38', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 40', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 1, Silva A. ⚽, Melgarejo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 46', Sanabria L. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 48', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
- 65', Cardozo O. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 65', Bareiro A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Galeano A. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 68', Oliva C. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 70', Jacquet M. 🟨,
- 72', Merlini B. 🟨,
- 72', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
- 73', Pereyra M. 🟨,
- 76', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 76', Mendieta W. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 80', Bentancourt R. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 83', Cardozo L. 🟨,
- 85', Merlini B. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
35.2% | Draw
28.8% | Nacional Montevideo
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.11) |
3.27 ↓
(3.27) |
2.61 ↓
(3.5) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Nacional Montevideo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
03.04.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
