Result
2:1
30/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 86 | 100 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 17 | 52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Romero F. ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Cardozo O. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
- 38', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 40', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 1, Silva A. ⚽, Melgarejo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 46', Sanabria L. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 48', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
- 65', Cardozo O. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 65', Bareiro A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 68', Galeano A. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 68', Oliva C. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 70', Jacquet M. 🟨,
- 72', Merlini B. 🟨,
- 72', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
- 73', Pereyra M. 🟨,
- 76', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 76', Mendieta W. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 80', Bentancourt R. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 83', Cardozo L. 🟨,
- 85', Merlini B. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
35.2% | Draw
28.8% | Nacional Montevideo
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.11) |
3.27 ↓
(3.27) |
2.61 ↓
(3.5) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Nacional Montevideo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
03.04.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
