Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras
Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
33
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
33
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
10
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Polenta D. 🟥,
  • 9', Recoba J. , Millan J. ,
  • 19', Rodriguez A. (Pen),
  • 19', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Lopez N. ,
  • 59', Romero D. , Petit G. ,
  • 60', Eduardo Vargas , Arady B. ,
  • 61', Morosini D. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Morales L. ,
  • 64', Boselli M. , Larregui B. ,
  • 64', Peralta R. , Chagas R. ,
  • 64', Morosini D. , Barrandeguy F. ,
  • 64', Rodriguez I. , Urretaviscaya J. ,
  • 74', Morales L. , Calione P. ,
  • 75', Perez F. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 78', Mejia L. 🟨,
  • 84', Lopez N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Chagas R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Chagas R. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
66.7%
Draw
20.7%
Juventud de Las Piedras
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.5% 18.7% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 18.1% 10.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.3)
    4.49
    (4.9)
    7.34
    (8.5)
    7.8%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4.
    • Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Juventud is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:10 (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:5 (average 2.3:0.7).
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool M1485121:91229
    2Nacional1484233:151828
    3Juventud1483321:14727
    4Defensor Sp1473416:10624
    5Penarol1473418:16224
    6Racing Montevideo1464413:9422
    7Cerro Largo1456315:15021
    8Boston River1463516:17-121
    9Plaza Colonia1454512:11119
    10Montevideo City1545616:22-617
    11Progreso1436516:25-915
    12CA Cerro1335512:17-514
    13Wanderers1526712:17-512
    14Miramar1432915:23-811
    15River Plate1524910:20-1010
    16Danubio1409510:16-69

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