Result
3:0
06/05/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (378/461) | 66% (183/276) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (378/461) | 66% (183/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (72/98) | 48% (49/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 3.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', Torres Patino J. P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+7', 1 - 0, Sandoval L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+8', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 45+9', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 45+10', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 45+10', Coates S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lodeiro N. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
- 64', dos Santos A. 🟨,
- 70', Barcia B. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 70', Carneiro G. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
- 74', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 74', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 74', Lopez E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Mosquera J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
- 81', Florez K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 81', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
- 88', Boggio L. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
45.2% | Draw
30.2% | Nacional Montevideo
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.08) |
3.12 ↓
(3.19) |
3.85 ↑
(3.67) |
5.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo?
- Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 35.9% – 97.5%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Rodriguez L.
(Red Card)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Nacional Montevideo?
Deportes Tolima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Deportes Tolima?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
14.04.2026
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportes Tolima
3:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportes Tolima - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, Inter |
