Result
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Danubio
11.9% | Draw
24.5% | Nacional Montevideo
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3%)
Danubio - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.85 ↓
(8.47) |
3.85 ↑
(3.73) |
1.44 ↑
(1.43) |
8.2%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
- Danubio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Nacional Montevideo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Danubio?
Nacional Montevideo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
29.06.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
3:2
13.04.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
27.11.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
13.07.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:6
25.05.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Danubio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Progreso | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
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