Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Bahia - Nacional Montevideo
Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Bahia - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.41
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
91% (549/601)76% (165/218)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.122.92
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
128
Passes
91% (549/601)76% (165/218)
Long passes
62% (13/21)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
81% (122/150)68% (45/66)
Crosses
19% (5/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.631.07
Throw-ins
97
Fouls
812
Tackles
100% (10/10)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4433
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
2.922.12
Goals prevented
-0.081.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas , Willian Jose (A),
  • 57', 1 - 1, Morales L. , Millan J. (A),
  • 61', Recoba J. , Romero D. ,
  • 64', Everton Ribeiro , Ademir ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Lopez N. , Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
  • 76', Morales L. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 82', Oliva C. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 84', Jean Lucas , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 84', Erick , Michel Araujo ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Millan J. , Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
  • 90', Caio Alexandre , Rodrigo ,
  • 90', Erick Pulga , Kayky ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
60.8%
Draw
22.8%
Nacional Montevideo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 22% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Bahia - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.53)
    4.1
    (4.15)
    5.71
    (6.04)
    6.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Nacional Montevideo?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Inactive) Gilberto (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G. (Knee Injury) Mereles E. (Injury)
    • We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bahia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Nacional Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
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    peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
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