Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Bahia - Nacional Montevideo
Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Bahia - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Bahia - Nacional Montevideo live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.41
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
91% (549/601)76% (165/218)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.122.92
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
128
Passes
91% (549/601)76% (165/218)
Long passes
62% (13/21)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
81% (122/150)68% (45/66)
Crosses
19% (5/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.631.07
Throw-ins
97
Fouls
812
Tackles
100% (10/10)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4433
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
2.922.12
Goals prevented
-0.081.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas , Willian Jose (A),
  • 57', 1 - 1, Morales L. , Millan J. (A),
  • 61', Recoba J. , Romero D. ,
  • 64', Everton Ribeiro , Ademir ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Lopez N. , Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
  • 76', Morales L. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 82', Oliva C. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 84', Jean Lucas , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 84', Erick , Michel Araujo ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Millan J. , Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
  • 90', Caio Alexandre , Rodrigo ,
  • 90', Erick Pulga , Kayky ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
60.8%
Draw
22.8%
Nacional Montevideo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 22% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Bahia - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.53)
    4.1
    (4.15)
    5.71
    (6.04)
    6.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Inactive) Gilberto (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G. (Knee Injury) Mereles E. (Injury)
    • We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bahia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Nacional Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
    peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan