Nacional de Muriaé vs Varginha: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2 Nacional de Muriaé - Varginha
Result
4:1
17/06/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO 2 - ROUND 11
Nacional de Muriaé - Varginha - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Nacional de Muriaé
25%
Draw
29.5%
Varginha
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 25.9% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 27.9% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional de Muriaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional de Muriaé's form might have worsened.
  • Varginha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varginha's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional de Muriaé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varginha than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varginha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional de Muriaé - Varginha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (2.11)
    3.04
    (3.44)
    1.97
    (2.78)
    11.6%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7).
    • Nacional de Muriaé is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Varginha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Nacional de Muriaé have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Varginha is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional de Muriaé won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    Latest results of Nacional de Muriaé
    Latest results of Varginha
    10.06.2023 Varginha - Aymorés 1:0
    07.06.2023 Itabirito - Varginha 4:0
    03.06.2023 Varginha - Boa Esporte 1:0
    28.05.2023 Uberlândia - Varginha 1:3
    24.05.2023 Varginha - Betim 0:2
    Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2 Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1URT32105:237
    2Mamore32105:237
    3Patrocinense31111:104
    4Uberaba30212:4-22
    5Caldense30212:4-22
    6Varginha30120:2-21


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Democrata SL32014:226
    2North Esporte Clube32016:516
    3Valeriodoce32015:416
    4Nacional de Muriae31025:6-13
    5Guarani-MG31023:4-13
    6Ipatinga31022:4-23

          Promotion ~ Mineiro 2 (Final Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Mineiro 3

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