Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño
Result
4:0
17/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 19
Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.31
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
82% (328/398)82% (295/360)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.06
Total shots
136
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
82% (328/398)82% (295/360)
Long passes
59% (41/70)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)61% (47/77)
Crosses
36% (4/11)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.56
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1211
Tackles
92% (11/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.062.94
Goals prevented
0.06-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Gaona Lugo O. , Jara F. (A),
  • 20', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Arrua C. , Jara F. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Caballero G. (Pen),
  • 31', Benitez F. , Pereira K. ,
  • 31', Caceres R. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 41', 4 - 0, Arrua C. ,
  • 45+1', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vera E. , Ramos J. ,
  • 50', Arrua C. 🟨,
  • 74', Benitez G. 🟨,
  • 75', Colman C. , Duarte D. ,
  • 75', Ortiz C. , Ramirez Antunez R. C. ,
  • 75', Gaona Lugo O. , Prieto R. ,
  • 75', Torres I. , Baez J. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez W. , Comas L. ,
  • 79', Benitez A. 🟨,
  • 80', Arrua C. , Bareiro Munoz F. V. ,
  • 88', Caballero G. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 90+1', Aguilar P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
52.6%
Draw
27%
Sportivo Luqueño
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.6% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.
  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.97)
    3.43
    (3.37)
    4.61
    (3.69)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
    • Recent form of Nacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sportivo Luqueño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sportivo Luqueño has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    21.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:2
    12.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 1:0
    03.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:1
    11.02.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion22128235:152044
    2Cerro Porteno22116533:181539
    3Guarani22122827:24338
    4Sportivo Trinidense22810427:22534
    5Olimpia Asuncion2289527:22533
    6Ameliano2278723:20329
    7Recoleta2269729:31-227
    8Nacional Asuncion22741123:28-525
    9General Caballero JLM22571019:26-722
    10Sp. Luqueno22410813:25-1222
    112 de Mayo22212815:26-1118
    12Atl. Tembetary22391017:31-1418

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
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