Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion
Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Romero B. (Par)
Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.39
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
84% (477/568)65% (171/263)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.46
Total shots
136
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
84% (477/568)65% (171/263)
Long passes
61% (31/51)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
67% (102/152)49% (40/82)
Crosses
50% (9/18)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.25
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1117
Tackles
83% (10/12)84% (16/19)
Duels won
5351
Clearances
1726
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.461.49
Goals prevented
-0.540.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Gaona Lugo O. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Ferreira S. (Pen),
  • 45', Nunez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Jara F. , Ramirez Antunez R. C. ,
  • 55', Alfaro J. F. , Arrua C. ,
  • 61', Caceres D. 🟨,
  • 66', Redes R. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 66', Ortiz R. , Quintana H. ,
  • 74', Leguizamon I. , Dominguez J. ,
  • 74', Bogado G. , Abreu L. ,
  • 78', Bailone I. , Colman C. ,
  • 78', Gaona Lugo O. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 82', Ferreira S. , Cantero A. ,
  • 90+5', Vargas G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Asuncion
42.5%
Draw
30.2%
Nacional Asuncion
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 29.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 30.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.08)
    3.05
    (3.17)
    3.37
    (3.68)
    8.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 0.
    • Recent performances by Olimpia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Olimpia has had a series of home games.
    • Olimpia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1
    22.03.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:1
    24.11.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:1
    30.10.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:2
    12.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:0
    Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional Asuncion43106:1510
    2Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    3Cerro Porteno32104:137
    4Sp. Luqueno42115:327
    52 de Mayo42115:507
    6Recoleta32018:716
    7Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    8Guarani31113:214
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM40041:9-80

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