Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.52 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
68% | 32% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (477/568) | 65% (171/263) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.52 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.49 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
84% (477/568) | 65% (171/263) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (31/51) | 34% (20/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (102/152) | 49% (40/82) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (9/18) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 84% (16/19) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 1.49 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.54 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Gaona Lugo O. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Ferreira S. (Pen),
- 45', Nunez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Jara F. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
- 55', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 61', Caceres D. 🟨,
- 66', Redes R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 66', Ortiz R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 74', Leguizamon I. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 74', Bogado G. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 78', Bailone I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 78', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 82', Ferreira S. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 90+5', Vargas G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion 42.5% | Draw 30.2% | Nacional Asuncion 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (2.08) |
3.05 ↓ (3.17) |
3.37 ↓ (3.68) |
8.8% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 0.
- Recent performances by Olimpia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Olimpia has had a series of home games.
- Olimpia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
25.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
22.03.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:1
24.11.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:1
30.10.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
12.09.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nacional Asuncion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Sp. Luqueno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
5 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
6 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
12 | General Caballero JLM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
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