Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion
Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.58
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
83% (454/550)70% (167/240)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.68
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1913
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
83% (454/550)70% (167/240)
Long passes
49% (36/73)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
59% (78/132)55% (45/82)
Crosses
24% (4/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.39
Fouls
1914
Tackles
65% (11/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5961
Clearances Total
1933
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.681.29
Goals prevented
0.68-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Campuzano A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 62', Cardozo O. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 63', Alcaraz A. , Franco I. ,
  • 72', Ortiz C. 🟨,
  • 74', Campuzano A. , Caballero H. ,
  • 74', Fernandez M. , Melgarejo L. ,
  • 74', Ortiz C. , Jara F. ,
  • 74', Arrua C. , Caballero Fleytas T. I. ,
  • 83', Sanabria L. 🟨,
  • 84', Sanabria L. , Santa C. R. ,
  • 84', Alfaro J. L. 🟨,
  • 86', Alfaro J. L. , Franco F. ,
  • 90+2', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cardozo O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Colman C. , Meza L. ,
  • 90+3', Caballero G. , Gaona Lugo O. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Melgarejo L. , Aguilar G. (A),
  • 90+5', Melgarejo L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
50.4%
Draw
29.1%
Nacional Asuncion
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 28.3% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 27.5% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Libertad Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.88)
    3.18
    (3.25)
    4.45
    (4.02)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Libertad Asuncion will win! (11 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 3.
    • Libertad in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Libertad is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35:17 (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:3
    06.12.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    29.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 2:1
    28.07.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:2
    21.05.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 5:0
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion18106231:131836
    2Guarani18102621:17432
    3Cerro Porteno1894524:15931
    4Olimpia Asuncion1885525:20529
    5Sportivo Trinidense1859420:19124
    6Recoleta1866627:28-124
    7General Caballero JLM1856715:18-321
    8Ameliano1856718:19-121
    9Sp. Luqueno1848612:19-720
    10Nacional Asuncion18531014:23-918
    11Atl. Tembetary1838714:20-617
    122 de Mayo1829713:23-1015

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
    paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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