Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (454/550) | 70% (167/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (454/550) | 70% (167/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (78/132) | 55% (45/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 61 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 62', Cardozo O. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 63', Alcaraz A. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 72', Ortiz C. 🟨,
- 74', Campuzano A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 74', Fernandez M. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz C. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 74', Arrua C. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 83', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 84', Sanabria L. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
- 84', Alfaro J. L. 🟨,
- 86', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
- 90+2', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cardozo O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Colman C. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 90+3', Caballero G. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Aguilar G. (A),
- 90+5', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
50.4% | Draw
29.1% | Nacional Asuncion
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)The ML Model estimate for Libertad Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.88) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
4.45 ↑
(4.02) |
8.3%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 3.
- Libertad in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Libertad is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35:17 (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
29.01.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:3
06.12.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
29.09.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
28.07.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
21.05.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
5:0
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Guarani | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 27 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 22 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
