Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (424/496) | 63% (126/200) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 0.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.14 | 0.99 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (424/496) | 63% (126/200) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (26/51) | 30% (17/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (85/129) | 49% (35/71) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (4/27) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 0.43 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.99 | 0.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Prieto R. ⚽, Franco F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 46', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 53', Recalde J. 🟨,
- 58', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 59', Recalde J. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 59', Sanabria L. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 65', Espinoza M. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 68', Santacruz J. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 68', Prieto R. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 77', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 79', Aguilar G. 🟨,
- 79', Viera D. 🟥,
- 87', Benitez G. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
- 87', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 88', Meza L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Franco I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion 46.6% | Draw 30.8% | Nacional Asuncion 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.76) |
3 ↓ (3.37) |
4.06 ↓ (4.69) |
8% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
11.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
29.01.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:3
06.12.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
29.09.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:1
28.07.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nacional Asuncion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Sp. Luqueno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
5 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
6 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
12 | General Caballero JLM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
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Paraguay | Tigo Sports |