Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion
Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3
Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.85
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (424/496)63% (126/200)
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.99
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
911
Passes
85% (424/496)63% (126/200)
Long passes
51% (26/51)30% (17/56)
Passes in final third
66% (85/129)49% (35/71)
Crosses
15% (4/27)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.43
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
119
Tackles
63% (12/19)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5843
Clearances
2343
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.990.14
Goals prevented
-0.010.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Prieto R. , Franco F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandez H. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 46', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 53', Recalde J. 🟨,
  • 58', Jara F. , Meza L. ,
  • 59', Recalde J. , Martinez H. ,
  • 59', Sanabria L. , Franco I. ,
  • 65', Espinoza M. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 68', Santacruz J. , Benitez H. ,
  • 68', Prieto R. , Valdez I. ,
  • 77', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 79', Aguilar G. 🟨,
  • 79', Viera D. 🟥,
  • 87', Benitez G. , Canete Torres A. D. ,
  • 87', Campuzano A. 🟨,
  • 88', Meza L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Franco I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
46.6%
Draw
30.8%
Nacional Asuncion
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 27.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.1% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.76)
    3
    (3.37)
    4.06
    (4.69)
    8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    29.01.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:3
    06.12.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    29.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 2:1
    28.07.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 1:2
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional Asuncion43106:1510
    2Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    3Cerro Porteno32104:137
    4Sp. Luqueno42115:327
    52 de Mayo42115:507
    6Recoleta32018:716
    7Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    8Guarani31113:214
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM40041:9-80

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on channel
    paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan