Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción).

: Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.44
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
71% (186/263)	77% (257/335)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.67
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
6	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
20	8
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
71% (186/263)	77% (257/335)
Long passes
52% (29/56)	33% (19/57)
Passes in final third
55% (61/111)	58% (54/93)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.51
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
64% (9/14)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
55	54
Clearances Total
28	34
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.67	0.70
Goals prevented
0.67	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Roa R. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Caballero G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,
46', Gimenez O. ↓, Armoa J. ↑,
62', Jara F. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
62', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
69', Vega G. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
69', Lezcano Olmedo T. E. ↓, Molinas G. ↑,
76', Caballero G. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
77', Roa R. ↓, Duarte Benitez I. A. ↑,
89', Arrua C. 🟨,
90+4', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
90+5', Prieto R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nacional Asuncion
47.3%

Draw
29.7%

General Caballero JLM
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.

General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General Caballero JLM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that General Caballero JLM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.36)	3.95 ↑ (3.1)	8.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
Recent matches Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
General Caballero is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Nacional is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against General Caballero JLM?

Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has General Caballero JLM won against Nacional Asuncion?

General Caballero JLM has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM were as follows:

25.10.2024 Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 1:0

17.08.2024 General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion 0:0

13.04.2024 General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion 1:2

23.01.2024 Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 2:2

01.11.2023 General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion 0:0

Latest results of Nacional Asuncion

22.03.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2 ✺

Latest results of General Caballero JLM

22.03.2025 General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion 0:5 ✺

14.03.2025 2 de Mayo - General Caballero JLM 0:0 ✺

09.03.2025 General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 General Caballero JLM - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - General Caballero JLM 0:0 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Libertad Asuncion	18	10	6	2	31:13	18	36
2	Guarani	18	10	2	6	21:17	4	32
3	Cerro Porteno	18	9	4	5	24:15	9	31
4	Olimpia Asuncion	18	8	5	5	25:20	5	29
5	Sportivo Trinidense	18	5	9	4	20:19	1	24
6	Recoleta	18	6	6	6	27:28	-1	24
7	General Caballero JLM	18	5	6	7	15:18	-3	21
8	Ameliano	18	5	6	7	18:19	-1	21
9	Sp. Luqueno	18	4	8	6	12:19	-7	20
10	Nacional Asuncion	18	5	3	10	14:23	-9	18
11	Atl. Tembetary	18	3	8	7	14:20	-6	17
12	2 de Mayo	18	2	9	7	13:23	-10	15

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports