NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda
Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 3
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.100.54
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
79% (324/409)76% (301/395)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
4.100.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.690.30
Total shots
186
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
3517
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
79% (324/409)76% (301/395)
Long passes
38% (21/55)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
66% (91/138)63% (52/82)
Crosses
45% (9/20)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
4.310.57
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1618
Tackles
40% (6/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.302.69
Goals prevented
0.30-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Chery T. (Pen),
  • 22', Valerius C. 🟨,
  • 22', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
  • 24', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 45', Pereira B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nassoh M. 🟨,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Onal B. , Verdonk C. (A),
  • 58', Ouaissa S. , Misidjan V. ,
  • 66', Valerius C. , Lucassen B. ,
  • 71', Ogawa K. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 71', Linssen B. , van Crooij V. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, van Crooij V. , Misidjan V. (A),
  • 80', Holtby L. , Candelaria J. ,
  • 80', Balard M. , Leemans C. ,
  • 80', Talvitie J. , Versluis D. ,
  • 84', Pereira B. , Sbai Y. ,
  • 84', Onal B. , Gonzalez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
60.7%
Draw
21.5%
NAC Breda
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 22.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 21.8% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.57)
    4.5
    (4.18)
    5.48
    (5.2)
    4.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Breda will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
    • Nijmegen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Breda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Brym C. (Arm Injury) Greiml L. (Broken Hand) Jensen F. (Toe Injury) Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    05.10.2024 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    29.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volos 0:0
    26.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volendam 6:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord33008:179
    2Nijmegen430114:4109
    3Utrecht430111:389
    4PSV430112:579
    5Ajax42207:348
    6AZ Alkmaar32107:347
    7Zwolle32013:216
    8Groningen42029:906
    9Sparta Rotterdam42026:11-56
    10Sittard31116:604
    11FC Volendam40406:604
    12Telstar41124:6-24
    13G.A. Eagles40316:9-33
    14Twente41032:5-33
    15NAC Breda41032:7-53
    16Excelsior41033:11-83
    17Heerenveen40225:7-22
    18Heracles40041:14-130

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    Which TV channels are streaming of NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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