Result
3:0
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 33
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 87% (463/531) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 87% (463/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 65% (51/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 70% (92/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Shiogai K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 65', Ouwejan T. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 65', Hansen S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 65', Sowah K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 65', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 70', 3 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 76', Larsen L. O. ↓, Schone L. ↑,
- 76', Jensen F. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
- 84', Paula R. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
- 90+2', Schone L. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
65.1% | Draw
20.4% | NAC Breda
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-25.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+16.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(2.28) |
4.64 ↑
(3.31) |
6.48 ↑
(3.19) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(39 of 42 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Injury)
van Crooij V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B.
(Knee Injury)
Versluis D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Hansen S.
(Inactive)
Hoedemakers M.
(Inactive)
Proper D.
(Head Injury)
Sandler P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against NAC Breda?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against NEC Nijmegen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
05.10.2024
NAC Breda
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Telstar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Excelsior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
