NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda
Result
3:0
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 33
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.23
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
83% (368/442)87% (463/531)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.00
Total shots
119
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
95
Passes
83% (368/442)87% (463/531)
Long passes
49% (33/68)65% (51/78)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)70% (92/131)
Crosses
33% (7/21)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.92
Throw-ins
2511
Fouls
59
Tackles
45% (5/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3537
Clearances
1719
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.002.19
Goals prevented
0.00-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Pereira B. , Hansen S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Shiogai K. , Linssen B. ,
  • 65', Ouwejan T. , Hoedemakers M. ,
  • 65', Hansen S. , Onal B. ,
  • 65', Sowah K. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 65', van Hooijdonk S. , Sauer L. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Linssen B. , Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 0, Linssen B. , Sano K. (A),
  • 76', Larsen L. O. , Schone L. ,
  • 76', Jensen F. , Mol L. ,
  • 84', Paula R. , Kaied A. ,
  • 90+2', Schone L. , Sbai Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
65.1%
Draw
20.4%
NAC Breda
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 27.4% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-25.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (2.28)
    4.64
    (3.31)
    6.48
    (3.19)
    4.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is NEC Nijmegen will win! (39 of 42 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ogawa K. (Injury) van Crooij V. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Hansen S. (Inactive) Hoedemakers M. (Inactive) Proper D. (Head Injury) Sandler P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
    05.10.2024 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Bye
    2TelstarDen Bosch
    Which TV channels are streaming of NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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