Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.07
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
76% (238/312)83% (424/508)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.79
Total shots
106
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
76% (238/312)83% (424/508)
Long passes
30% (13/44)47% (34/72)
Passes in final third
54% (42/78)76% (117/154)
Crosses
17% (3/18)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.75
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
1410
Tackles
87% (13/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4154
Clearances
2818
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.791.23
Goals prevented
0.790.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Sierhuis K. , Fosso R. (A),
  • 45+2', Sowah K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Michut E. , Mitrovic J. ,
  • 56', Radulovic B. , Rosier L. ,
  • 63', Mitrovic J. 🟨,
  • 65', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 66', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 66', Mahmutovic E. , Jensen F. ,
  • 68', Peterson K. , Dahlhaus J. ,
  • 86', Valerius C. , Paula R. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 87', Sierhuis K. , Johnson O. ,
  • 87', Bullaude E. , Grujcic D. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
49.6%
Draw
27.1%
NAC Breda
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 25.5% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.98)
    3.5
    (3.69)
    4.08
    (3.49)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fortuna Sittard is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M. (Injury) Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Da Cruz A. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Kuijpers R. (Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda were as follows:
    14.09.2024 NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard 1:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2TelstarDen Bosch2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Willem IITelstar1 : 3, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
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