NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar
31/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


NAC Breda
18.4%
Draw
20.8%
AZ Alkmaar
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 22.1% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 21.7% 62.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.28
    (5.7)
    4.57
    (4.25)
    1.57
    (1.53)
    4.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Recent form of Breda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AZ is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    15.12.2024 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    29.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volos 0:0
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    14.08.2025 Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1
    07.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nijmegen330012:1119
    2PSV330012:399
    3Ajax32106:247
    4Feyenoord22004:136
    5Zwolle22003:036
    6Utrecht32019:366
    7Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    8AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    9FC Volendam30305:503
    10Twente31022:4-23
    11Groningen31025:9-43
    12NAC Breda31022:6-43
    13G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    14Sittard20113:4-11
    15Heerenveen30123:5-21
    16Telstar30122:6-41
    17Excelsior30032:11-90
    18Heracles30031:10-90

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