Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (420/502) | 78% (283/364) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.91 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
84% (420/502) | 78% (283/364) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (25/47) | 42% (22/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (95/132) | 67% (65/97) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (2/20) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.39 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (15/22) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.21 | 0.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.21 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Koller J. ⚽, Merien F. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, van der Plas S. (Own goal),
- 38', 2 - 1, van den Berg J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 63', Kuipers M. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 63', van Duiven R. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 63', Raap Y. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Foubert L. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
- 73', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 73', Thomas A. ↓, Abed T. ↑,
- 74', Bouhoudane S. 🟨,
- 76', El Basri N. 🟨,
- 78', Breugelmans I. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
- 78', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 81', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
- 87', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV 53.8% | Draw 22.5% | MVV Maastricht 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong PSV's form might have worsened.MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.6) |
4.08 ↓ (4.6) |
3.84 ↓ (4.57) |
6.2% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Maastricht will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
- Recent performances by Jong PSV have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jong PSV is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong PSV?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
14.04.2025
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
3:2
30.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:2
19.02.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:3
06.10.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
24.04.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
0:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cambuur | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Den Bosch | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
7 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | FC Emmen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 13 |
11 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
12 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
16 | Almere City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21:17 | 4 | 10 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Netherlands | ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |