Libertad Loja vs Mushuc Runa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa
Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 9
Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.56
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
59% (130/220)64% (149/234)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.45
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1019
Offsides
011
Free Kicks
915
Passes
59% (130/220)64% (149/234)
Long passes
33% (27/81)38% (27/72)
Passes in final third
43% (33/76)44% (45/102)
Crosses
36% (5/14)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.46
Fouls
159
Tackles
71% (5/7)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4561
Clearances Total
5117
Interceptions
14
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.451.34
Goals prevented
0.46-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Davila E. 🟨,
  • 16', Rigoleto M. 🟨,
  • 19', Avila D. 🟨,
  • 22', Avila D. 🟥,
  • 26', Verges J. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Arboleda C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Miranda B. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 46', Peralta K. , Alonso M. ,
  • 46', Zambrano A. , Tapiero S. ,
  • 46', Rigoleto M. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 46', Davila E. , Arce L. ,
  • 55', Biojo R. 🟨,
  • 61', Quinonez Y. , Bolanos D. ,
  • 62', Montano J. , Humanante J. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Caicedo N. , Arboleda C. (A),
  • 75', Gracia A. (Pen),
  • 75', 2 - 1, Gracia A. ,
  • 82', Bores E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Arboleda C. , Monaga J. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
41.3%
Draw
28.6%
Mushuc Runa
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.9% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Loja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.01)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    3.08
    (3.66)
    7.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Recent matches Libertad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mushuc Runa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Libertad will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    26.09.2024 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 2:1
    03.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:2
    02.03.2024 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 2:1
    02.09.2023 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 0:1
    09.04.2023 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 2:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    11.04.2025 Emelec - Libertad Loja 1:1
    30.03.2025 Manta - Libertad Loja 1:1
    15.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 4:1
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito 1:0
    09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2
    03.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Palestino 3:2
    29.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona SC1291220:13728
    2Ind. del Valle1383226:121427
    3Aucas1364319:14522
    4Orense1362516:18-220
    5LDU Quito1154217:8919
    6Dep. Cuenca1361611:12-119
    7Vinotinto1353521:17418
    8Libertad1253418:17118
    9U. Catolica1345420:15517
    10Mushuc Runa1343618:21-315
    11Manta1335517:23-614
    12Delfin133559:18-914
    13EL Nacional1334616:19-313
    14Emelec133468:16-813
    15Macara132569:13-411
    16Tecnico U1324711:20-910

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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