Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
59% (130/220) | 64% (149/234) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.34 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 11 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
59% (130/220) | 64% (149/234) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (27/81) | 38% (27/72) |
Passes in final third |
---|
43% (33/76) | 44% (45/102) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 12% (3/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 0.46 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 61 |
Clearances Total |
---|
51 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
1 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.45 | 1.34 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.46 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Davila E. 🟨,
- 16', Rigoleto M. 🟨,
- 19', Avila D. 🟨,
- 22', Avila D. 🟥,
- 26', Verges J. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 0, Arboleda C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miranda B. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 46', Peralta K. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 46', Zambrano A. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 46', Rigoleto M. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 46', Davila E. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
- 55', Biojo R. 🟨,
- 61', Quinonez Y. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 62', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Caicedo N. ⚽, Arboleda C. (A),
- 75', Gracia A. (Pen),
- 75', 2 - 1, Gracia A. ⚽,
- 82', Bores E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja 41.3% | Draw 28.6% | Mushuc Runa 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Loja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (2.01) |
3.26 ↓ (3.27) |
3.08 ↓ (3.66) |
7.6% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Recent matches Libertad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mushuc Runa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Libertad will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Mushuc Runa?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Libertad Loja?
Mushuc Runa has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
26.09.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
03.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
02.03.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
02.09.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
0:1
09.04.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
2 | Ind. del Valle | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Aucas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Orense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
5 | LDU Quito | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 19 |
7 | Vinotinto | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Libertad | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
9 | U. Catolica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 17 |
10 | Mushuc Runa | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Manta | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Delfin | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 14 |
13 | EL Nacional | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Emelec | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
15 | Macara | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Tecnico U | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |