Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa
Result
2:1
23/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 14
  • Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.57
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
80% (344/430)60% (121/201)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.65
Total shots
179
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
80% (344/430)60% (121/201)
Long passes
48% (24/50)33% (22/66)
Passes in final third
71% (76/107)41% (39/95)
Crosses
7% (1/15)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.50
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (6/8)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4235
Clearances
3517
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.650.97
Goals prevented
-0.35-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Peralta K. 🟨,
  • 35', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Spinelli C. , Mercado P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Sornoza J. ,
  • 58', Mendez J. , Pata E. ,
  • 59', Sornoza J. , Cazares ,
  • 59', Hoyos M. , Ibarra R. ,
  • 59', Orejuela C. , Parrales J. ,
  • 61', Gracia A. , Mina G. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Tapiero S. , Mina G. (A),
  • 71', Caicedo E. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 73', Spinelli C. , Medina J. ,
  • 74', Mercado P. , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 90+5', Santamaria T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
61.1%
Draw
22.8%
Mushuc Runa
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 22% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 21.1% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.47)
    4.08
    (4.22)
    5.78
    (6.31)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    18.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    06.08.2023 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 1:0
    25.02.2023 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 3:1
    02.11.2022 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    10.05.2025 Manta - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle1594229:141531
    2Barcelona SC1492320:15529
    3Aucas1574422:16625
    4LDU Quito1465322:14823
    5Dep. Cuenca1572614:13123
    6Orense1572618:20-223
    7Vinotinto1564524:19522
    8U. Catolica1555524:19520
    9EL Nacional1554621:21019
    10Libertad1554619:20-119
    11Delfin1546512:20-818
    12Manta1537521:27-616
    13Emelec154479:18-916
    14Macara1536612:15-315
    15Mushuc Runa1543821:26-515
    16Tecnico U1524914:25-1110

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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