Result
2:1
23/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 14
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.35 | 0.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (344/430) | 60% (121/201) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.35 | 0.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.97 | 0.65 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
80% (344/430) | 60% (121/201) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (24/50) | 33% (22/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (76/107) | 41% (39/95) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/15) | 13% (3/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.65 | 0.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.35 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 35', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Spinelli C. ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Mancilla Quinones J. L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Sornoza J. ⚽,
- 58', Mendez J. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 59', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 59', Hoyos M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 59', Orejuela C. ↓, Parrales J. ↑,
- 61', Gracia A. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Tapiero S. ⚽, Mina G. (A),
- 71', Caicedo E. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 73', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 74', Mercado P. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 90+5', Santamaria T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle 61.1% | Draw 22.8% | Mushuc Runa 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-2%)
Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.47) |
4.08 ↓ (4.22) |
5.78 ↓ (6.31) |
7.6% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Mushuc Runa?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Independiente del Valle?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
05.10.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
18.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
06.08.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
25.02.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
02.11.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 15 | 31 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 29 |
3 | Aucas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | LDU Quito | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Dep. Cuenca | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Orense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Vinotinto | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 22 |
8 | U. Catolica | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 20 |
9 | EL Nacional | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Libertad | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Delfin | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
12 | Manta | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
13 | Emelec | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Macara | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Tecnico U | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |