Result
1:1
29/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 6
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (172/266) | 63% (128/202) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (172/266) | 63% (128/202) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (57/117) | 46% (37/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (2/30) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 74 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Ruiz J. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 25', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Simisterra R. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
- 46', Rigoleto M. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 47', Quinonez J. 🟨,
- 62', Peralta K. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 62', Davila E. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
- 64', Arce L. 🟨,
- 65', Munoz E. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 66', Ayovi J. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 0, Bryan Angulo ⚽, Formento R. (A),
- 71', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
- 76', Meli M. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
- 79', Quinonez J. 🟨,
- 88', Gracia A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Corozo W. ⚽,
- 90+3', Corozo W. 🟨,
- 90+8', Bryan Angulo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
50.9% | Draw
26.8% | Emelec
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Mushuc Runa - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.67) |
3.48 ↓
(3.5) |
4.23 ↓
(4.5) |
7.4%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Recent matches Mushuc Runa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Emelec is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mushuc Runa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Mushuc Runa is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 18:45 (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Emelec?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Mushuc Runa?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Emelec were as follows:
11.08.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
3:0
08.03.2024
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
23.09.2023
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
23.04.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
0:0
01.10.2022
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
0:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | Aucas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Vinotinto | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Macara | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Emelec | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 18 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - Emelec?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
