Result
20/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
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Chances of winning
Emelec
58.3% | Draw
24.8% | Mushuc Runa
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Emelec - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.64) |
3.74 ↑
(3.68) |
5.43 ↑
(5.14) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Emelec - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- Emelec has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Emelec is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:4. (average 2.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Mushuc Runa?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Emelec?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
29.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
1:1
11.08.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
3:0
08.03.2024
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
23.09.2023
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
23.04.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
0:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 36 |
| 4 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Libertad | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Manta | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 22 |
| 14 | Emelec | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - Mushuc Runa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
