MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Hungarian NB I MTK Budapest - Paksi SE
Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NB I. - Round 5
MTK Budapest - Paksi SE - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.062.55
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2615
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (368/467)75% (274/367)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
3.062.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.542.95
Total shots
2615
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
229
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
79% (368/467)75% (274/367)
Long passes
54% (43/79)47% (32/68)
Passes in final third
68% (71/105)67% (94/140)
Crosses
45% (9/20)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.01
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1614
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5850
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
2.952.54
Goals prevented
-0.050.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Vecsei B. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Hahn J. (Pen),
  • 32', Molnar R. 🟨,
  • 40', Szepe J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Haraszti Z. , Windecker J. ,
  • 55', Gyurkits G. , Toth B. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Atrok I. ,
  • 60', Szepe J. , Molnar A. ,
  • 61', Molnar R. , Kerezsi Z. ,
  • 65', Hahn J. , Peto M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Horvath A. , Bognar I. (A),
  • 75', Atrok I. , Szucs P. ,
  • 75', Horvath K. , Bode D. ,
  • 76', Silye E. , Hinora K. ,
  • 80', Szeles I. A. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Windecker J. (Pen),
  • 84', Horvath A. , Polievka R. ,
  • 90+1', Bognar I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MTK Budapest
36.8%
Draw
23.9%
Paksi SE
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 24.4% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 23.9% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.29)
    3.89
    (3.84)
    2.38
    (2.7)
    7.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Paks will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
    • Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paks is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
    11.04.2025 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 1:2
    07.12.2024 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 4:2
    03.12.2024 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 3:1
    03.03.2024 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 0:2
    05.11.2023 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 0:0
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    17.08.2025 MTK Budapest - Győri ETO 2:7
    09.08.2025 MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri 5:0
    01.08.2025 Debreceni - MTK Budapest 1:0
    19.07.2025 MTK Budapest - Komárno 0:3
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    10.08.2025 Ujpest - Paksi SE 1:2
    03.08.2025 Kisvárda - Paksi SE 1:5
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paks642018:9914
    2Ferencvaros531112:4810
    3Debrecen631210:10010
    4Puskas Academy631210:10010
    5Kisvarda53117:8-110
    6Gyor523013:769
    7Ujpest621310:827
    8MTK Budapest621312:13-17
    9DVTK613210:14-46
    10Nyiregyhaza61147:14-74
    11Zalaegerszegi604210:14-44
    12Kazincbarcikai50144:12-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.

    Which TV channels are streaming of MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
    It is being streamed on channel
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
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