Mtarfa vs Fgura United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Maltese Challenge League Mtarfa - Fgura United
Result
3:2
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7
Mtarfa - Fgura United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
611
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Agbakwuru J. C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Akande T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ,
  • 51', Falzon D. 🟨,
  • 54', Hassan J. , Matheus Freitas ,
  • 59', Formosa K. , Xuereb A. ,
  • 59', Marshall A. N. , John I. ,
  • 61', Micallef M. , Azzopardi Z. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 79', Gambin M. , Abdelghani H. ,
  • 83', Brincat M. , Formosa R. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ,
  • 87', Azzopardi A. , Tonna R. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Xuereb A. ,

Chances of winning


Mtarfa
30.8%
Draw
28.3%
Fgura United
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 24.7% 54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 24.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mtarfa's performance.
  • Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fgura United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mtarfa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fgura United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mtarfa - Fgura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (4.42)
    3.3
    (3.7)
    2.28
    (1.68)
    7.3%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mtarfa - Fgura United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Mtarfa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fgura is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Mtarfa have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fgura is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Mtarfa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mtarfa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mtarfa - Fgura United were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Mtarfa - Fgura United 1:2
    12.02.2023 Fgura United - Mtarfa 1:1
    01.11.2022 Mtarfa - Fgura United 0:2
    Latest results of Mtarfa
    06.04.2025 Gudja United - Mtarfa 1:3
    30.03.2025 Mtarfa - St. Andrews 0:1
    08.03.2025 Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa 0:2
    02.03.2025 Sirens - Mtarfa 1:1
    27.02.2025 Mġarr United - Mtarfa 1:0
    Latest results of Fgura United
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Promotion

    Final
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melita00000:000
    2Naxxar00000:000

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