Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin
Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.77
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
81% (296/364)82% (350/426)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.62
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
68
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (296/364)82% (350/426)
Long passes
44% (16/36)55% (27/49)
Passes in final third
68% (71/105)67% (71/106)
Crosses
13% (2/15)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.34
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
1212
Tackles
64% (9/14)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.621.19
Goals prevented
0.620.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Mraz S. , Wojcik F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mikolajewski D. , Radwanski A. ,
  • 59', Caliskaner K. , Scalet M. ,
  • 61', Regula M. , Adamski R. ,
  • 61', Kolan J. , Mroz M. ,
  • 63', Scalet M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ceglarz P. , Krol M. ,
  • 69', Palacz K. , Luberecki F. ,
  • 80', Najemski A. , Ede B. ,
  • 80', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 87', Orlikowski I. , Michalski D. ,
  • 90+2', Krol M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
46.4%
Draw
26.9%
Zagłębie Lubin
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.
  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.26)
    3.53
    (3.25)
    3.48
    (3.11)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Motor Lublin will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Motor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Zagłębie Lubin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Motor: Brkic I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Hladun D. (Inactive) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury) Wdowiak M. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Augustin J. (Injury) Bartos M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamski R. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin 1:2
    19.10.2022 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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