Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
90% (431/481) | 82% (290/355) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.81 | 0.35 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (431/481) | 82% (290/355) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (25/40) | 34% (13/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
84% (174/206) | 70% (57/81) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (11/34) | 38% (5/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 1.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 88% (14/16) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.35 | 0.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.65 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Sow O. 🟨,
- 33', Ambros L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Sow O. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 57', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
- 58', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 62', Ismaheel T. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 62', Liseth S. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
- 62', Ambros L. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
- 64', Stolarski P. 🟨,
- 65', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 65', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 72', Wojcik F. 🟨,
- 78', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 78', Bartos M. ↓, Meyer P. K. ↑,
- 78', Kmet M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 78', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Podolski L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Brkic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze 57.9% | Draw 22.7% | Motor Lublin 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.72) |
4.13 ↑ (3.65) |
4.83 ↑ (4.35) |
6.3% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
Górnik Zabrze will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Karasek K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Zahovic L.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Motor Lublin?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Górnik Zabrze?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin were as follows:
15.03.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Motor Lublin
4:0
13.09.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:0
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |