Motherwell vs Dundee United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Motherwell - Dundee United
Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 29
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Motherwell - Dundee United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.960.34
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
53
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
53
Passes
84% (443/527)71% (230/324)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.960.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.79
Total shots
167
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
277
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
136
Passes
84% (443/527)71% (230/324)
Long passes
59% (37/63)39% (30/76)
Passes in final third
76% (137/181)52% (46/88)
Crosses
28% (5/18)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.31
Throw ins
2815
Fouls
613
Tackles
53% (10/19)84% (21/25)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.791.21
Goals prevented
0.79-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Farrugia N. 🟨,
  • 36', Sevelj V. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Maswanhise T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', Iovu I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Maswanhise T. , Watt E. (A),
  • 57', Said I. 🟨,
  • 60', Camara P. , Trapanovski K. ,
  • 61', Eskesen J. , Sapsford Z. ,
  • 61', Watters M. , Agyei E. ,
  • 61', Farrugia N. , Fatah A. ,
  • 63', Fadinger L. 🟨,
  • 72', Said I. , Bjorgolfsson E. ,
  • 72', Fadinger L. , Priestman O. ,
  • 82', Longelo E. , Sparrow T. ,
  • 82', Slattery C. , Charles-Cook R. ,
  • 90+1', O'Donnell S. , Ross L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motherwell
69.3%
Draw
19.4%
Dundee United
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.7% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 22% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motherwell's performance.
  • Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motherwell that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Motherwell - Dundee United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.87
    (4.11)
    8.25
    (5.93)
    5.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Motherwell - Dundee United?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -1 - Motherwell (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +2.5 - Dundee Utd (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Motherwell will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Motherwell will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 4 - 80%). Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 20%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 3.
    • Motherwell is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dundee Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Motherwell is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C. (Injury) Koutroumbis J. (Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Sibbald C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Dundee United were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Dundee United - Motherwell 0:0
    29.10.2025 Motherwell - Dundee United 2:0
    22.02.2025 Dundee United - Motherwell 1:0
    14.12.2024 Motherwell - Dundee United 4:3
    30.10.2024 Dundee United - Motherwell 1:2
    Latest results of Motherwell
    21.02.2026 St. Mirren - Motherwell 0:5
    18.02.2026 Aberdeen - Motherwell 2:0
    15.02.2026 Motherwell - Aberdeen 2:0
    31.01.2026 Livingston - Motherwell 0:2
    Latest results of Dundee United
    24.02.2026 Dundee United - Aberdeen 0:0
    21.02.2026 Dundee United - Kilmarnock 1:1
    17.02.2026 Dundee United - Spartans 2:1
    14.02.2026 Falkirk - Dundee United 2:3
    04.02.2026 Hibernian - Dundee United 3:2
    Scottish Premier League Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Celtic22006:156
    2St. Mirren22003:036
    3Motherwell21102:114
    4Hearts21015:233
    5Dundee FC21012:113
    6St Johnstone21014:403
    7Hibernian21013:303
    8Aberdeen21012:3-13
    9Rangers20112:3-11
    10Falkirk20110:2-21
    11Dundee Utd20111:5-41
    12Kilmarnock20024:9-50

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Motherwell - Dundee United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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