Victoria La Ceiba vs Motagua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua
Result
0:1
22/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6
Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
810
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Silva F. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Vazquez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 59', Argueta J. 🟨,
  • 60', Serrano J. , Macias J. ,
  • 62', Argueta J. , Crisanto L. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 74', Melendez D. , Nunez J. ,
  • 74', Vazquez M. , Cabrera M. ,
  • 79', Portillo J. , Zapata R. ,
  • 85', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
  • 88', Discua O. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Victoria La Ceiba
22%
Draw
27.4%
Motagua
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 26.8% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 22.9% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.12
    (3.96)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    1.8
    (1.82)
    10%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 0.
    • Victoria La Ceiba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Motagua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Motagua has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua 1:1
    01.03.2025 Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba 2:1
    30.11.2024 Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba 5:2
    22.09.2024 Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua 1:3
    30.03.2024 Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua 2:2
    Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
    Latest results of Motagua
    17.08.2025 Motagua - CD Marathón 3:3
    14.08.2025 Motagua - Cartagines 0:0
    09.08.2025 Olancho - Motagua 3:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia642016:51114
    2Marathon531114:41010
    3Real Espana53119:3610
    4Olancho531111:7410
    5Platense530211:659
    6Juticalpa52217:12-58
    7UPNFM52127:9-27
    8Motagua51136:10-44
    9Choloma51138:16-84
    10Genesis51045:9-43
    11Victoria50050:13-130

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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