Morocco W vs Mali W, Africa Cup of Nations Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Olympique de Rabat (Rabat).

: Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.61	1.44
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
76% (318/420)	61% (141/230)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.24	1.61
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
30	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
76% (318/420)	61% (141/230)
Long passes
49% (21/43)	22% (11/49)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)	51% (30/59)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.72
Throw-ins
24	27
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
59% (16/27)	77% (23/30)
Duels won
67	58
Clearances
17	30
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.61	2.24
Goals prevented
0.61	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Jraidi I. ⚽, Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
24', Benzina N. 🟨,
41', Dembele F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Badri N. ↓, Nakkach E. ↑,
46', Mrabet Y. K. ↓, Mssoudy S. ↑,
70', Tagnaout F. ↓, Saoud I. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Jraidi I. (Pen),
82', Sogore C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
84', Jraidi I. ↓, Chapelle K. ↑,
85', Diabate K. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
87', Traore A. 🟨,
89', Diarra A. ↓, Baradji D. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Chapelle K. ⚽, Saoud I. (A),
90+1', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, El Ghazouani I. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 1, Traore A. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Morocco W
71.7%

Draw
19.1%

Mali W
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.

Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali W than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mali W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morocco W - Mali W Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	4.93 ↑ (4.5)	10.21 ↑ (5.73)	6.2% (10.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Morocco is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Morocco will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Morocco W won against Mali W?

Morocco W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mali W won against Morocco W?

Mali W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco W - Mali W were as follows:

03.12.2024 Morocco W - Mali W 1:0

Latest results of Morocco W

12.07.2025 Morocco W - Senegal W 1:0 ✺

09.07.2025 D.R. Congo W - Morocco W 2:4 ✺

05.07.2025 Morocco W - Zambia W 2:2 ✺

28.06.2025 Morocco W - Tanzania W 4:0 ✺

19.06.2025 Morocco W - Malawi W 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Mali W

14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Ghana W - Mali W 1:1 ✺

07.07.2025 Mali W - Tanzania W 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Mali W - Liberia W 0:1 ✺

29.05.2025 Mali W - Sierra Leone W 0:1 ✺

Draw

2026

Semi-finals

1	Angola W	Zimbabwe W	2 : 2, 2 : 1
2	Malawi W (WO.)	Congo W
3	Botswana W	D.R. Congo W	0 : 0, 0 : 2
4	Bye	South Africa W
5	Tanzania W	Equatorial Guinea W	1 : 1, 3 : 1
6	Uganda W	Ethiopia W	0 : 3, 2 : 0
7	Eswatini W	Namibia W	0 : 1, 0 : 3
8	Bye	Zambia W
9	Burundi W	Burkina Faso W	1 : 4, 0 : 1
10	Djibouti W	Togo W	0 : 5, 0 : 5
11	South Sudan W	Algeria W	0 : 3, 0 : 5
12	Bye	Cameroon W
13	Rwanda W	Egypt W	2 : 2, 0 : 1
14	Bye	Ghana W
15	Kenya W	Tunisia W	1 : 0, 0 : 0
16	Niger W	Gambia W	1 : 2, 0 : 2
17	Benin W	Sierra Leone W	3 : 1, 2 : 1
18	Bye	Nigeria W
19	Guinea W	Cape Verde W	1 : 4, 2 : 2
20	Gabon W	Mali W	1 : 4, 0 : 6
21	Chad W	Senegal W (WO.)
22	Bye	Ivory Coast W

Final

1	Angola W	Malawi W
2	D.R. Congo W	South Africa W
3	Tanzania W	Ethiopia W
4	Namibia W	Zambia W
5	Burkina Faso W	Togo W
6	Algeria W	Cameroon W
7	Egypt W	Ghana W
8	Kenya W	Gambia W
9	Benin W	Nigeria W
10	Cape Verde W	Mali W
11	Senegal W	Ivory Coast W

Which TV channels are streaming of Morocco W - Mali W?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	BandSports
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV4
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz