Morocco W vs Mali W, Africa Cup of Nations Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Africa Cup of Nations Women Morocco W - Mali W
Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Morocco W - Mali W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.44
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
76% (318/420)61% (141/230)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.241.61
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
138
Passes
76% (318/420)61% (141/230)
Long passes
49% (21/43)22% (11/49)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)51% (30/59)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.72
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
813
Tackles
59% (16/27)77% (23/30)
Duels won
6758
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.612.24
Goals prevented
0.61-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Jraidi I. , Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
  • 24', Benzina N. 🟨,
  • 41', Dembele F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Badri N. , Nakkach E. ,
  • 46', Mrabet Y. K. , Mssoudy S. ,
  • 70', Tagnaout F. , Saoud I. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Jraidi I. (Pen),
  • 82', Sogore C. , Traore M. ,
  • 84', Jraidi I. , Chapelle K. ,
  • 85', Diabate K. , Diarra S. ,
  • 87', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 89', Diarra A. , Baradji D. ,
  • 89', 3 - 0, Chapelle K. , Saoud I. (A),
  • 90+1', Ouzraoui Diki S. , El Ghazouani I. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Traore A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Morocco W
71.7%
Draw
19.1%
Mali W
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 20.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 18.8% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.
  • Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali W than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mali W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morocco W - Mali W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.41)
    4.93
    (4.5)
    10.21
    (5.73)
    6.2%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Morocco is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Morocco will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco W - Mali W were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Morocco W - Mali W 1:0
    Latest results of Morocco W
    12.07.2025 Morocco W - Senegal W 1:0
    09.07.2025 D.R. Congo W - Morocco W 2:4
    05.07.2025 Morocco W - Zambia W 2:2
    28.06.2025 Morocco W - Tanzania W 4:0
    19.06.2025 Morocco W - Malawi W 4:2
    Latest results of Mali W
    14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0
    11.07.2025 Ghana W - Mali W 1:1
    07.07.2025 Mali W - Tanzania W 1:0
    31.05.2025 Mali W - Liberia W 0:1
    29.05.2025 Mali W - Sierra Leone W 0:1
    Draw
    2026

    Semi-finals
    1Angola WZimbabwe W2 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Malawi W (WO.)Congo W
    3Botswana WD.R. Congo W0 : 0, 0 : 2
    4ByeSouth Africa W
    5Tanzania WEquatorial Guinea W1 : 1, 3 : 1
    6Uganda WEthiopia W0 : 3, 2 : 0
    7Eswatini WNamibia W0 : 1, 0 : 3
    8ByeZambia W
    9Burundi WBurkina Faso W1 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Djibouti WTogo W0 : 5, 0 : 5
    11South Sudan WAlgeria W0 : 3, 0 : 5
    12ByeCameroon W
    13Rwanda WEgypt W2 : 2, 0 : 1
    14ByeGhana W
    15Kenya WTunisia W1 : 0, 0 : 0
    16Niger WGambia W1 : 2, 0 : 2
    17Benin WSierra Leone W3 : 1, 2 : 1
    18ByeNigeria W
    19Guinea WCape Verde W1 : 4, 2 : 2
    20Gabon WMali W1 : 4, 0 : 6
    21Chad WSenegal W (WO.)
    22ByeIvory Coast W

    Final
    1Angola WMalawi W
    2D.R. Congo WSouth Africa W
    3Tanzania WEthiopia W
    4Namibia WZambia W
    5Burkina Faso WTogo W
    6Algeria WCameroon W
    7Egypt WGhana W
    8Kenya WGambia W
    9Benin WNigeria W
    10Cape Verde WMali W
    11Senegal WIvory Coast W
    Which TV channels are streaming of Morocco W - Mali W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    brazilBrazilBandSports
    cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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