Arouca vs Moreirense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Arouca - Moreirense
Result
1:0
24/01/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
  • Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
Arouca - Moreirense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
72
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
102
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1118
Offsides
34
Fouls
1811
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
3522
Touches in the Opposition Box
197
Passes
83% (338/409)83% (347/420)
Passes in the final third
71% (85/119)69% (60/87)
Crosses
19% (5/26)7% (1/14)
Tackles
50% (12/24)72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
3034
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Trezza A. 🟨,
  • 40', Fukui T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 63', Asue L. , Guilherme Schettine ,
  • 63', Ofori L. , Tavares S. ,
  • 63', Santos P. , Antonisse J. ,
  • 67', Trezza A. , Jason ,
  • 67', Araujo H. , Nandin D. ,
  • 75', Madson , Bernardo ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Jason ,
  • 81', Alan , Rodrigues I. ,
  • 81', Fukui T. , Loum M. ,
  • 81', Gozalbez P. , Puche ,
  • 90+1', Sylla M. , Popovic B. ,

Chances of winning


Arouca
39.4%
Draw
30.7%
Moreirense
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.9% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Arouca - Moreirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.22)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Moreirense?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1.
    • Recent matches Arouca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Moreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arouca will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Busquets O. (Injury) Kouassi E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Frimpong G. (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Moreirense: Hernani Infande (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:19 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Moreirense were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Moreirense - Arouca 3:1
    17.03.2024 Moreirense - Arouca 1:0
    27.10.2023 Arouca - Moreirense 0:1
    22.12.2022 Moreirense - Arouca 1:2
    Latest results of Arouca
    04.01.2025 Boavista - Arouca 1:3
    27.12.2024 Arouca - Gil Vicente 1:1
    20.12.2024 Casa Pia - Arouca 3:1
    15.12.2024 Arouca - Santa Clara 1:0
    Latest results of Moreirense
    19.01.2025 Moreirense - Farense 0:0
    12.01.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 1:0
    04.01.2025 Moreirense - AVS 1:1
    28.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 2:2
    21.12.2024 Moreirense - Porto 0:3
    Liga Portugal Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP33247286:275979
    2Benfica33254483:275679
    3FC Porto33215762:303268
    4Braga33198654:292565
    5Vitoria Guimaraes331412747:351254
    6Santa Clara331661134:31354
    7Famalicao3412111144:39547
    8Casa Pia341291339:44-545
    9Estoril3311101244:53-943
    10Rio Ave349111439:55-1638
    11Moreirense339101439:50-1137
    12Arouca338111431:48-1735
    13Gil Vicente348101634:47-1334
    14Nacional33971732:47-1534
    15Estrela33781824:46-2229
    16AFS335121625:57-3227
    17SC Farense33691824:44-2027
    18Boavista33662123:55-3224

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