Morecambe vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Morecambe - Swindon Town
Result
1:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Morecambe - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.40
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
66% (191/288)75% (307/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.27
Total shots
107
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2210
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
66% (191/288)75% (307/407)
Long passes
46% (36/79)44% (40/91)
Passes in final third
50% (63/126)52% (52/100)
Crosses
15% (2/13)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.28
Fouls
1013
Tackles
73% (8/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5247
Clearances Total
4122
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.270.32
Goals prevented
0.22-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Angol L. , Dallas A. (A),
  • 41', Nichols T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cain J. , Cox G. ,
  • 64', Ameen B. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 65', Nichols T. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 65', Ofoborh N. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 65', Kilkenny G. , Cotterill J. ,
  • 71', Dallas A. , Dackers M. ,
  • 72', Hope H. , Lewis P. ,
  • 73', White T. 🟨,
  • 81', Angol L. , Slew J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Morecambe
30.2%
Draw
27.4%
Swindon Town
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 27.3% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 27.1% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Morecambe - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.22)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    2.21
    (2.14)
    6.5%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Morecambe - Swindon Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Swindon will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schofield R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Jones C. (Injury) Lewis P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Swindon Town were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Swindon Town - Morecambe 2:3
    27.04.2024 Swindon Town - Morecambe 3:3
    23.09.2023 Morecambe - Swindon Town 2:2
    Latest results of Morecambe
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
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