Exeter City vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Morecambe
Result
3:2
07/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 46
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Exeter City - Morecambe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
41%
Draw
26.1%
Morecambe
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 26.5% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morecambe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Exeter City - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.72)
    3.61
    (3.7)
    2.86
    (4.39)
    6.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: Morecambe will win (59 of 69 users predict this - 85.51%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.2%93.82%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Exeter has the most likely position - 15 (35.73%), project points - 55, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (52.84%), project points - 45, currently - 44, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Morecambe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Morecambe to win the game is with odds 2.84.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Morecambe were as follows:
    02.12.2022 Morecambe - Exeter City 1:1
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Morecambe
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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