Morecambe vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Morecambe - Carlisle United
Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Morecambe - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
60% (175/294)56% (156/278)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.78
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2515
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
60% (175/294)56% (156/278)
Long passes
28% (28/99)32% (30/93)
Passes in final third
49% (70/144)43% (53/122)
Crosses
42% (10/24)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.89
Fouls
1521
Tackles
63% (10/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
7467
Clearances Total
2838
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.780.30
Goals prevented
-0.220.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Kelly G. , Ellis J. (A),
  • 36', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 38', Whelan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 46', Hope H. , Lewis P. ,
  • 46', Dallas A. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 46', Williams R. , Fairclough A. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Thomas T. ,
  • 71', White T. , Dackers M. ,
  • 75', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 76', Fusire S. , Vela J. ,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Hugill J. ,
  • 89', Wearne S. , Guy C. ,
  • 89', Whelan C. , Bevan J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Morecambe
41.9%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 27.5% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.32)
    3.55
    (3.41)
    2.98
    (2.92)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Embleton E. (Red Card) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Dennis M. (Inactive) Harper C. (Injury) Hayden A. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1
    12.11.2024 Morecambe - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Morecambe
    05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe22005:146
    2Fleetwood22004:136
    3Chesterfield22003:036
    4Tranmere21105:144
    5Grimsby21106:334
    6MK Dons21102:024
    7Bromley21102:024
    8Harrogate21104:314
    9Newport21103:214
    10Gillingham21102:114
    11Swindon21014:403
    12Cambridge Utd21013:303
    13Walsall21012:203
    14Salford21013:4-13
    15Colchester20202:202
    16Oldham20201:102
    17Notts Co20112:3-11
    18Accrington20111:3-21
    19Shrewsbury20110:4-41
    20Bristol Rovers20021:3-20
    21Cheltenham20020:3-30
    22Barrow20020:3-30
    23Crawley20021:5-40
    24Barnet20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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