Morecambe vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Morecambe - Carlisle United
Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Morecambe - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
60% (175/294)56% (156/278)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.78
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2515
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
60% (175/294)56% (156/278)
Long passes
28% (28/99)32% (30/93)
Passes in final third
49% (70/144)43% (53/122)
Crosses
42% (10/24)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.89
Fouls
1521
Tackles
63% (10/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
7467
Clearances Total
2838
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.780.30
Goals prevented
-0.220.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Kelly G. , Ellis J. (A),
  • 36', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 38', Whelan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 46', Hope H. , Lewis P. ,
  • 46', Dallas A. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 46', Williams R. , Fairclough A. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Thomas T. ,
  • 71', White T. , Dackers M. ,
  • 75', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 76', Fusire S. , Vela J. ,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Hugill J. ,
  • 89', Wearne S. , Guy C. ,
  • 89', Whelan C. , Bevan J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Morecambe
41.9%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 27.5% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.32)
    3.55
    (3.41)
    2.98
    (2.92)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Morecambe - Carlisle United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Embleton E. (Red Card) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Dennis M. (Inactive) Harper C. (Injury) Hayden A. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1
    12.11.2024 Morecambe - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Morecambe
    05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
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