Monza vs Padova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie B Monza - Padova
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
Monza - Padova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.24
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Long passes
52% (24/46)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
81% (151/187)65% (51/79)
Crosses
14% (5/37)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.55
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.241.12
Goals prevented
0.240.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Perrotta M. 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Varas K. ,
  • 52', Birindelli S. 🟨,
  • 57', Colombo L. , Zeroli K. ,
  • 57', Colpani A. , Galazzi N. ,
  • 59', Lasagna K. , Buonaiuto C. ,
  • 66', Alvarez A. , Caprari G. ,
  • 66', Maric M. , Petagna A. ,
  • 66', Crisetig L. 🟨,
  • 74', Crisetig L. , Di Maggio L. ,
  • 75', Varas K. , Harder J. ,
  • 81', Barreca A. , Favale G. ,
  • 82', Lucchesi L. , Carboni A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
51.9%
Draw
27.8%
Padova
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Monza - Padova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.92)
    3.39
    (3.35)
    4.61
    (3.8)
    5.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Monza - Padova?
  • Users Predictions: Monza will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Padova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Padova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Ciurria P. (Red Card) Forson O. (Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Boi A. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Padova: Fusi P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Monza
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    Latest results of Padova
    21.09.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 2:1
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    31.08.2025 Carrarese - Padova 0:0
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    10.08.2025 Padova - Vicenza Virtus 0:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone532010:3711
    2Palermo53207:2511
    3Cesena53209:5411
    4Modena43109:2710
    5Avellino53119:7210
    6Sudtirol52219:728
    7Venezia52217:528
    8Juve Stabia51406:427
    9Monza52124:407
    10Padova52124:5-17
    11Carrarese41216:515
    12Catanzaro50506:605
    13Reggiana51227:8-15
    14Entella51224:6-25
    15Pescara41128:714
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova51044:11-73
    18Bari50233:9-62
    19Spezia50232:8-62
    20Sampdoria50143:9-61

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monza - Padova?
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