Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning
Result
3:5
09/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3521
Shots off Goal
227
Shooting PCT
8.57% (3/35)23.81% (5/21)
Blocked Shots
2415
Goalkeeper Saves
1632
Saves PCT
80% (16/20)91.43% (32/35)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2925
Faceoffs Won
3832
Faceoffs %
54.2945.71
Giveaways
1915
Takeaways
117
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:08, Laine P. (2 min),
  • 03:08, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 06:56, 0 - 1, Paul N. (G), Hagel B. (A),
  • 10:28, 0 - 2, Hedman V. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
  • 16:19, Anderson J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 17:04, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 18:53, 1 - 2, Gallagher B. (G), Newhook A. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
  • 19:22, Matheson M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:05, 1 - 3, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
  • 01:05, Dobes J. , Montembeault S. ,
  • 06:43, 1 - 4, Girgensons Z. (G), Atkinson C. (A), Eyssimont M. (A2)
  • 12:45, 2 - 4, Dvorak C. (G), Savard D. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:14, Glendening L. (2 min),
  • 09:19, 3 - 4, Gallagher B. (G),
  • 19:44, 3 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Hagel B. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
28.3%
Draw
21.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 21.8% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 21.7% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.22)
    4.46
    (4.4)
    1.87
    (1.98)
    6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
  • What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tampa Bay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tampa Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Guhle K. (Thigh Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Johansson J. (Lower-Body Injury) Moser J.J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Heineman E. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Tampa Bay to win the game is with odds 2.03.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Montreal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 49:75 (average 2.5:3.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:34 (average 2.6:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    21.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    29.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 2:5
    04.04.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:7
    02.03.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 4:3
    31.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 4:3
    Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Anaheim Ducks000000:00
    2Winnipeg Jets000000:00
    3Calgary Flames000000:00
    4Chicago Blackhawks000000:00
    5Colorado Avalanche000000:00
    6Dallas Stars000000:00
    7Edmonton Oilers000000:00
    8Los Angeles Kings000000:00
    9Minnesota Wild000000:00
    10Nashville Predators000000:00
    11San Jose Sharks000000:00
    12St. Louis Blues000000:00
    13Vancouver Canucks000000:00
    14Vegas Golden Knights000000:00
    15Seattle Kraken000000:00
    16Utah Mammoth000000:00


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Detroit Red Wings000000:00
    2Pittsburgh Penguins000000:00
    3Boston Bruins000000:00
    4Buffalo Sabres000000:00
    5Carolina Hurricanes000000:00
    6Columbus Blue Jackets000000:00
    7Florida Panthers000000:00
    8Montreal Canadiens000000:00
    9New Jersey Devils000000:00
    10New York Islanders000000:00
    11Ottawa Senators000000:00
    12Philadelphia Flyers000000:00
    13Tampa Bay Lightning000000:00
    14Toronto Maple Leafs000000:00
    15Washington Capitals000000:00
    16New York Rangers000000:00

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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