Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Canadian football CFL Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts
Result
26:25
17/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : CFL
Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

1st Downs
2121
Total Yards
387291
Passing Yards
303242
Rushing Yards
8449
Penalties
33
Penalties Yards
2030
Touchdowns
33
Rushing Touchdowns
21
Passing Touchdowns
12
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
21
Field Goals Attempted
21
Fumbles Lost
11

Chances of winning


Montreal Alouettes
79.9%
Toronto Argonauts
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montreal Alouettes's performance.
  • Toronto Argonauts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Argonauts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-23.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Alouettes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Argonauts than the current prediction. (+23.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Argonauts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.45)

    4.69
    (2.64)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Montreal is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 546:519. (average 27.3:26).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 278:222. (average 27.8:22.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 28:10
    09.11.2024 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 28:30
    28.09.2024 Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes 37:31
    11.07.2024 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 18:37
    28.06.2024 Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes 20:30
    Latest results of Montreal Alouettes
    Latest results of Toronto Argonauts
    CFL Table
    Main

    East Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Hamilton Tiger-Cats750002225:18910
    2Montreal Alouettes750002191:15810
    3Toronto Argonauts720005184:2064
    4Ottawa Redblacks710006148:2032


    West Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Saskatchewan Roughriders760001199:16812
    2Calgary Stampeders750002202:13410
    3Winnipeg Blue Bombers630003150:1666
    4BC Lions830005196:2166
    5Edmonton Elks610005136:1912

          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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