Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Canadian football CFL Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes
Result
19:21
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : CFL
Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

1st Downs
1417
Total Yards
232304
Passing Yards
207228
Rushing Yards
2576
Penalties
65
Penalties Yards
8341
Touchdowns
12
Rushing Touchdowns
00
Passing Touchdowns
12
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
42
Field Goals Attempted
52
Fumbles Lost
00
2-Point conversions
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Argonauts
29.5%
Montreal Alouettes
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Argonauts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Argonauts's form might have worsened.
  • Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montreal Alouettes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Argonauts than the current prediction. (+32.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Argonauts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-32.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Alouettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (1.8)

    1.35
    (2.05)
    6%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Montreal is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 3.33.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 534:532. (average 26.7:26.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 297:268. (average 29.7:26.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes were as follows:
    17.07.2025 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 26:25
    06.06.2025 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 28:10
    09.11.2024 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 28:30
    28.09.2024 Toronto Argonauts - Montreal Alouettes 37:31
    11.07.2024 Montreal Alouettes - Toronto Argonauts 18:37
    Latest results of Toronto Argonauts
    Latest results of Montreal Alouettes
    CFL Table
    Main

    East Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Hamilton Tiger-Cats16100015470:44420
    2Montreal Alouettes1580007366:37316
    3Toronto Argonauts16500011465:51210
    4Ottawa Redblacks15400011364:4338


    West Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Saskatchewan Roughriders15110004408:34622
    2BC Lions1681007495:45418
    3Calgary Stampeders1580007387:37316
    4Winnipeg Blue Bombers1580007403:37316
    5Edmonton Elks1560009363:41312

          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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